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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Groningen
S T T T S
0–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 31/32 matches
Win Ø 54%
45%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
42%
69%
Both score Ø 56%
45%
66%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 7. · AZ Alkmaar 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 26 4 2 +75 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 20 8 4 +37 68
3 AZ Alkmaar 32 20 7 5 +29 67
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 30 15 8 7 +25 53
6 Utrecht 30 13 10 7 +11 49
7 Groningen 31 14 6 11 +4 48
8 Heracles 32 12 7 13 -6 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
10 For Sittard 32 12 4 16 -7 40
11 Heerenveen 32 9 12 11 -3 39
12 Twente 32 9 11 12 -2 38
13 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 -8 35
14 Waalwijk 32 6 9 17 -20 27
15 Willem II 32 6 7 19 -32 25
16 FC Emmen 32 5 9 18 -34 24
17 VVV Venlo 32 6 5 21 -42 23
18 Den Haag 32 4 10 18 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen AZ Alkmaar
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 M. Boadu
↦ Z. Aboukhlal
J. Larsen 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
67′
Ko Itakura 🟨
68′
70′
🟨 Jonas Svensson
Mike te Wierik 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 H. Evjen
↦ J. Karlsson
Bart Van Hintum 🟨
80′
A. Robben 🔁
↦ A. da Cruz
83′
89′
🔁 K. Goudmijn
↦ A. Guðmundsson
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
32 M. te Wierik D
2 D. Dankerlui D
5 K. Itakura D
7 R. Lundqvist M
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
21 A. da Cruz M
11 M. El Hankouri M
19 P. Abraham F
Bench (9)
9 J. Larsen
10 A. Robben
25 J. de Boer
23 P. Bråtveit
14 P. Joosten
26 D. van Kaam
17 Migue Leal
8 S. Schreck
31 T. Suslov

Coach: D. Buijs

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bizot G
15 B. Martins Indi D
2 J. Svensson D
5 O. Wijndal D
20 J. Clasie D
6 F. Midtsjø M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
28 A. Guðmundsson F
11 J. Karlsson M
7 C. Stengs M
17 Z. Aboukhlal M
Bench (9)
9 M. Boadu
18 H. Evjen
21 K. Goudmijn
24 T. Reijnders
16 H. Verhulst
57 J. Berkhout
30 M. Bakker
26 Y. Sugawara
40 M. Gullit

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,73
U ✓
4,00
B
1,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.