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Eredivisie
Referee: K Blom
Twente
U T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Utrecht
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 29/27 matches
Win Ø 36%
31%
41%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 65%
62%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 9. · Utrecht 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 30 24 4 2 +68 76
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 19 7 4 +35 64
3 AZ Alkmaar 30 18 7 5 +26 61
4 Vitesse 29 17 5 7 +18 56
5 Feyenoord 27 15 7 5 +29 52
6 Groningen 29 13 6 10 +1 45
7 Utrecht 27 11 9 7 +9 42
8 Heracles 30 11 6 13 -10 39
9 Twente 29 9 10 10 +2 37
10 Heerenveen 30 9 10 11 -3 37
11 For Sittard 30 11 4 15 -9 37
12 Sparta Rotterdam 29 10 6 13 -4 36
13 Zwolle 30 8 11 11 -6 35
14 Waalwijk 30 6 8 16 -18 26
15 Willem II 30 6 7 17 -29 25
16 FC Emmen 30 5 9 16 -26 24
17 VVV Venlo 30 6 4 20 -38 22
18 Den Haag 30 2 10 18 -45 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Utrecht
21′
🟨 Eljero Elia
1–0 Danilo
L. Narsingh
28′
Half-time 1–1
49′
S. van de Streek 1–1
O. Boussaid
55′
G. Kerk 1–2
Joël Drommel 🟨
59′
Jayden Oosterwolde 🟨
61′
Kik Pierie 🟨
61′
62′
🟨 Willem Janssen
D. Dumić 🔁
↦ K. Pierie
66′
66′
🔁 B. Ramselaar
↦ E. Elia
73′
🔁 E. Bergström
↦ H. ter Avest
D. Rots 🔁
↦ J. Bosch
75′
N. Markelo 🔁
↦ J. Oosterwolde
75′
80′
🟨 Mark van der Maarel
85′
🔁 U. Emanuelson
↦ S. van de Streek
85′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ O. Boussaid
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
23 T. Ebuehi D
15 K. Pierie D
5 G. Smal D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
20 G. Roemeratoe M
32 J. Bosch M
19 R. Zerrouki M
25 L. Narsingh F
11 Q. Menig F
9 Danilo F
Bench (10)
43 D. Dumić
39 D. Rots
24 N. Markelo
10 I. Abass
35 M. Hilgers
40 C. Staring
22 J. de Lange
37 T. van Leeuwen
38 M. Bruns
30 E. van der Gouw

Coach: R. Jans

Utrecht

4-3-3
32 E. Oelschlägel G
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
6 A. Maher M
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek M
11 E. Elia F
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid F
Bench (11)
23 B. Ramselaar
13 E. Bergström
28 U. Emanuelson
29 M. Sylla
1 M. Paes
17 B. Benamar
25 T. St. Jago
9 Adrián Dalmau
24 O. Velanas
16 T. Nijhuis
30 R. Balk

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,57
U
3,72
B ✓
1,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Blom · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.