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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Valladolid

U U U U T

0–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 26%

14%

37%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

37%

57%

Both score Ø 65%

60%

69%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 18. · Villarreal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	36	24	8	4	+40	80
2	Barcelona	36	23	7	6	+47	76
3	Real Madrid	35	22	9	4	+34	75
4	Sevilla	36	23	5	8	+23	74
5	Sociedad	36	15	11	10	+17	56
6	Betis	35	15	9	11	-2	54
7	Villarreal	35	13	13	9	+11	52
8	Celta	36	13	11	12	-2	50
9	Ath Bilbao	36	11	13	12	+7	46
10	Granada	35	13	6	16	-13	45
11	Osasuna	36	11	11	14	-9	44
12	Cadiz	36	11	10	15	-20	43
13	Levante	36	9	13	14	-10	40
14	Valencia	36	9	12	15	-6	39
15	Alaves	36	8	11	17	-22	35
16	Getafe	36	8	10	18	-16	34
17	Huesca	36	7	12	17	-18	33
18	Valladolid	35	5	16	14	-17	31
19	Elche	36	6	12	18	-25	30
20	Eibar	35	6	11	18	-19	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	14	3	1	+29	45
2	Sevilla	18	13	1	4	+15	40
3	Real Madrid	18	12	3	3	+19	39
4	Barcelona	18	11	5	2	+25	38
5	Betis	18	9	5	4	+5	32
6	Ath Bilbao	18	8	6	4	+11	30
7	Sociedad	18	8	6	4	+10	30
8	Granada	17	9	3	5	+3	30
9	Celta	18	9	3	6	+1	30
10	Valencia	18	7	7	4	+8	28
11	Villarreal	18	7	6	5	+2	27
12	Osasuna	18	7	5	6	-1	26
13	Levante	18	5	8	5	-3	23
14	Getafe	18	5	6	7	+1	21
15	Huesca	18	5	6	7	-4	21
16	Alaves	18	5	6	7	-6	21
17	Elche	18	4	8	6	-7	20
18	Cadiz	18	5	5	8	-11	20
19	Valladolid	17	3	7	7	-8	16
20	Eibar	17	2	6	9	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	12	2	4	+22	38
2	Real Madrid	17	10	6	1	+15	36
3	Ath Madrid	18	10	5	3	+11	35
4	Sevilla	18	10	4	4	+8	34
5	Sociedad	18	7	5	6	+7	26
6	Villarreal	17	6	7	4	+9	25
7	Cadiz	18	6	5	7	-9	23
8	Betis	17	6	4	7	-7	22
9	Celta	18	4	8	6	-3	20
10	Osasuna	18	4	6	8	-8	18
11	Levante	18	4	5	9	-7	17
12	Eibar	18	4	5	9	-11	17
13	Ath Bilbao	18	3	7	8	-4	16
14	Valladolid	18	2	9	7	-9	15
15	Granada	18	4	3	11	-16	15
16	Alaves	18	3	5	10	-16	14
17	Getafe	18	3	4	11	-17	13
18	Huesca	18	2	6	10	-14	12
19	Valencia	18	2	5	11	-14	11
20	Elche	18	2	4	12	-18	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.