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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
PSV Eindhoven
S S S U S
4–2
Full-time
Zwolle
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 44%
63%
25%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
56%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Zwolle 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 26 4 2 +75 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 20 8 4 +37 68
3 AZ Alkmaar 32 20 7 5 +29 67
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 30 15 8 7 +25 53
6 Utrecht 30 13 10 7 +11 49
7 Groningen 31 14 6 11 +4 48
8 Heracles 32 12 7 13 -6 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
10 For Sittard 32 12 4 16 -7 40
11 Heerenveen 32 9 12 11 -3 39
12 Twente 32 9 11 12 -2 38
13 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 -8 35
14 Waalwijk 32 6 9 17 -20 27
15 Willem II 32 6 7 19 -32 25
16 FC Emmen 32 5 9 18 -34 24
17 VVV Venlo 32 6 5 21 -42 23
18 Den Haag 32 4 10 18 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Zwolle
0–1 X. Mous
own goal
22′
1–1 D. Malen
Y. Vertessen
29′
2–1 Y. Vertessen
M. van Ginkel
34′
42′
🟨 Destan Bajselmani
Half-time 2–1
N. Viergever 🔁
↦ O. Boscagli
46′
P. Rosario 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
46′
46′
🔁 M. Doue
↦ R. Strieder
52′
🟨 Marc Olivier Doue
3–1 E. Zahavi
D. Malen
54′
N. Madueke 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
62′
A. Obispo 🔁
↦ P. Max
63′
66′
🟨 Thomas Lam
69′
I. Pherai 3–2
70′
🔁 B. Manuel
↦ D. Bajselmani
84′
🔁 S. Lagsir
↦ S. Tedić
84′
🔁 J. Drost
↦ M. Saymak
J. Piroe 🔁
↦ D. Dumfries
86′
90′
S. Lagsir 3–3
B. Manuel
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-2-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
31 P. Max D
28 O. Boscagli D
22 D. Dumfries D
33 J. Teze D
14 M. van Ginkel M
6 I. Sangaré M
7 E. Zahavi F
9 D. Malen F
19 C. Gakpo M
53 Y. Vertessen M
Bench (8)
4 N. Viergever
18 P. Rosario
23 N. Madueke
24 A. Obispo
29 J. Piroe
16 V. Müller
11 A. Fein
13 L. Unnerstall

Coach: R. Schmidt

Zwolle

3-3-1-3
1 X. Mous G
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal M
4 Y. Nakayama D
17 D. Bajselmani M
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder M
22 P. Clement F
25 I. Pherai F
20 T. van den Belt D
27 S. Tedić F
Bench (11)
36 M. Doue
14 B. Manuel
21 S. Lagsir
11 J. Drost
23 E. Reijnders
34 D. Chirino
40 M. Hauptmeijer
9 M. van Duinen
7 V. Misidjan
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
16 D. van Drenth

Coach: B. Konterman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
U
7,26
B
16,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.