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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Waalwijk
T T T T U
2–1
Full-time
Twente
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 24%
19%
28%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Waalwijk 14. · Twente 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 26 4 2 +75 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 20 8 4 +37 68
3 AZ Alkmaar 32 20 7 5 +29 67
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 30 15 8 7 +25 53
6 Utrecht 30 13 10 7 +11 49
7 Groningen 31 14 6 11 +4 48
8 Heracles 32 12 7 13 -6 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
10 For Sittard 32 12 4 16 -7 40
11 Heerenveen 32 9 12 11 -3 39
12 Twente 32 9 11 12 -2 38
13 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 -8 35
14 Waalwijk 32 6 9 17 -20 27
15 Willem II 32 6 7 19 -32 25
16 FC Emmen 32 5 9 18 -34 24
17 VVV Venlo 32 6 5 21 -42 23
18 Den Haag 32 4 10 18 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Twente
38′
🔁 L. Narsingh
↦ L. Ilić
Half-time 0–0
S. Bakari 🔁
↦ J. Gaari
46′
47′
Danilo 0–1
Q. Menig
1–1 S. Sow
T. Oosting
48′
2–1 S. Sow
T. Oosting
54′
58′
🔁 D. Rots
↦ N. Markelo
58′
🔁 D. Dumić
↦ T. van Leeuwen
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ C. Ngonge
66′
S. Adewoye 🔁
↦ M. Meulensteen
66′
Thijs Oosting 🟨
69′
S. Augustijns 🔁
↦ A. Tahiri
71′
76′
🔁 G. Roemeratoe
↦ W. Brama
76′
🔁 C. Staring
↦ R. Zerrouki
L. Daneels 🔁
↦ R. van der Venne
83′
88′
🟨 Joël Drommel
88′
🟥 Danilo
Ahmed Touba 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
31 K. Lamprou G
5 P. Quasten D
2 J. Gaari D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
4 V. Anita M
10 R. van der Venne M
8 A. Tahiri M
25 T. Oosting M
19 S. Sow F
7 C. Ngonge M
Bench (12)
28 S. Bakari
9 F. Stokkers
29 S. Adewoye
26 S. Augustijns
21 L. Daneels
34 L. Wouters
99 V. Damaşcan
12 H. Mulder
22 M. Grim
1 E. Vaessen
20 T. Lutonda
11 O. John

Coach: F. Grim

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
23 T. Ebuehi D
24 N. Markelo D
5 G. Smal D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
6 W. Brama M
8 L. Ilić M
19 R. Zerrouki M
37 T. van Leeuwen F
11 Q. Menig F
9 Danilo F
Bench (10)
25 L. Narsingh
39 D. Rots
43 D. Dumić
20 G. Roemeratoe
40 C. Staring
35 M. Hilgers
38 M. Bruns
30 E. van der Gouw
10 I. Abass
22 J. de Lange

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,32
U
3,57
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.