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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Den Haag
T U T S S
1–4
Full-time
Willem II
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 16%
13%
19%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
53%
56%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
2,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 18. · Willem II 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 26 4 2 +75 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 20 8 4 +37 68
3 AZ Alkmaar 32 20 7 5 +29 67
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 30 15 8 7 +25 53
6 Utrecht 30 13 10 7 +11 49
7 Groningen 31 14 6 11 +4 48
8 Heracles 32 12 7 13 -6 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
10 For Sittard 32 12 4 16 -7 40
11 Heerenveen 32 9 12 11 -3 39
12 Twente 32 9 11 12 -2 38
13 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 -8 35
14 Waalwijk 32 6 9 17 -20 27
15 Willem II 32 6 7 19 -32 25
16 FC Emmen 32 5 9 18 -34 24
17 VVV Venlo 32 6 5 21 -42 23
18 Den Haag 32 4 10 18 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Willem II
5′
V. Pavlidis 0–1
M. Trésor
22′
V. Pavlidis 0–2
C. Nunnely
24′
ℹ️ Vangelis Pavlidis
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Jonas Arweiler ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
36′
40′
K. Wriedt 0–3
V. Pavlidis
Milan van Ewijk 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–3
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ J. Arweiler
46′
Y. Mokhtar 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
46′
M. Vejinovic 🔁
↦ K. de Boer
46′
B. Kemper 🔁
↦ D. Janmaat
58′
62′
🔁 L. Selahi
↦ M. Trésor
T. Gomelt 🔁
↦ J. Goossens
67′
68′
🔁 M. Köhlert
↦ D. Saddiki
1–3 M. Kramer
M. Vejinovic
69′
71′
C. Nunnely 1–4
K. Wriedt
73′
🟨 Lindon Selahi
74′
🔁 F. Heerkens
↦ Pol Llonch
75′
🟨 Arijanet Murić
Marko Vejinović 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
90 M. Fraisl G
51 G. Zuiverloon D
53 D. Janmaat D
19 S. Pinas D
2 M. van Ewijk D
10 A. El Khayati M
8 J. Goossens M
14 K. de Boer M
9 J. Arweiler F
24 B. Adekanye F
20 V. Besuijen F
Bench (11)
29 M. Kramer
30 Y. Mokhtar
88 M. Vejinovic
4 B. Kemper
95 T. Gomelt
5 J. Familia-Castillo
34 A. Ćatić
18 D. Philipp
1 L. Koopmans
23 Pascu
12 C. Seedorf

Coach: R. Brood

Willem II

4-4-2
49 A. Murić G
25 S. Holmén D
32 S. van Beek D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
21 M. Trésor F
20 K. Wriedt F
10 V. Pavlidis M
7 C. Nunnely M
Bench (10)
30 L. Selahi
11 M. Köhlert
3 F. Heerkens
4 J. Peters
23 G. Sağlam
16 R. Zuijderwijk
26 J. Brondeel
24 C. van den Berg
43 W. Spieringhs
46 J. van den Avert

Coach: Ž. Petrović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,48
U
3,74
B ✓
1,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,19
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.