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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
1–1
Full-time
Heracles
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
4,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 18. · Heracles 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Waalwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Cambuur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Heracles
21′
🟨 Rai Vloet
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ A. Auassar
28′
1–0 B. Vriends
40′
Half-time 1–0
Vito van Crooij 🟨
52′
68′
🔁 D. Burgzorg
↦ S. Bakış
68′
🔁 I. Azzaoui
↦ N. Laursen
M. Engels 🔁
↦ V. van Crooij
70′
L. Jans 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
70′
77′
D. Burgzorg 1–1
G. Quagliata
T. Beugelsdijk 🔁
↦ B. Smeets
82′
87′
🔁 M. Amissi
↦ B. Başacıkoğlu
95′
🟨 Noah Fadiga
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
3 B. Vriends D
5 M. Pinto D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
8 L. Duarte M
7 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
11 V. van Crooij M
Bench (10)
19 E. Emegha
17 M. Engels
12 L. Jans
14 T. Beugelsdijk
20 B. van Leer
13 G. Overman
18 J. Meerstadt
30 T. Coremans
16 K. Goudmijn
15 J. Bynoe

Coach: H. Fraser

Heracles

4-2-3-1
26 K. Bucker G
13 M. Knoester D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs D
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
7 B. Başacıkoğlu M
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (12)
37 D. Burgzorg
18 I. Azzaoui
30 M. Amissi
22 M. Leš
34 A. Damen
4 S. Sonnenberg
17 A. Szőke
28 R. Jalving
12 R. Roosken
8 E. Sierra-Cappelleti
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
20 K. Jakobsen

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U ✓
3,22
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.