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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Heracles

U T T U T

3–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

0,3

0,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+21	13
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Willem II	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Utrecht	5	2	2	1	+5	8
7	Nijmegen	5	2	2	1	-2	8
8	Go Ahead Eagles	5	2	0	3	-3	6
9	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	-6	6
10	Cambuur	5	2	0	3	-8	6
11	Waalwijk	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Groningen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Twente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Zwolle	5	0	0	5	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+19	9
2	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Cambuur	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Willem II	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Waalwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Groningen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+6	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	-3	6
4	Willem II	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-4	4
8	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-3	0
13	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0
17	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.