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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

AZ Alkmaar

S T S S U

5–0

Full-time

Heracles

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 49%

61%

36%

Points per game

2,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

67%

55%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

45%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

26 Shots 4

9 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 3. · Heracles 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	33	27	4	2	+77	85
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	21	8	4	+39	71
3	AZ Alkmaar	33	20	8	5	+29	68
4	Vitesse	33	18	7	8	+16	61
5	Feyenoord	31	15	9	7	+25	54
6	Utrecht	31	13	11	7	+11	50
7	Groningen	32	14	7	11	+4	49
8	Heracles	33	12	8	13	-6	44
9	Sparta Rotterdam	32	12	7	13	+0	43
10	For Sittard	33	12	5	16	-7	41
11	Heerenveen	33	9	12	12	-5	39
12	Twente	33	9	11	13	-3	38
13	Zwolle	33	8	11	14	-10	35
14	Waalwijk	33	7	9	17	-19	30
15	Willem II	33	7	7	19	-29	28
16	FC Emmen	33	6	9	18	-32	27
17	VVV Venlo	33	6	5	22	-44	23
18	Den Haag	33	4	10	19	-46	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	14	2	1	+39	44
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	13	3	1	+26	42
3	Vitesse	16	11	4	1	+16	37
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	2	3	+16	35
5	Feyenoord	14	8	4	2	+19	28
6	Heracles	17	8	4	5	+13	28
7	Groningen	17	7	6	4	+4	27
8	Heerenveen	16	6	5	5	+5	23
9	Utrecht	15	6	5	4	+2	23
10	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	4	7	+3	22
11	Zwolle	16	5	6	5	+0	21
12	Waalwijk	17	5	4	8	-4	19
13	For Sittard	17	5	3	9	-6	18
14	Willem II	16	5	2	9	-12	17
15	FC Emmen	17	4	4	9	-15	16
16	Twente	16	3	6	7	-3	15
17	VVV Venlo	16	3	4	9	-22	13
18	Den Haag	17	1	6	10	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	2	1	+38	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	6	2	+13	33
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	8	5	3	+13	29
4	Utrecht	16	7	6	3	+9	27
5	Feyenoord	17	7	5	5	+6	26
6	Vitesse	17	7	3	7	+0	24
7	Twente	17	6	5	6	+0	23
8	For Sittard	16	7	2	7	-1	23
9	Groningen	15	7	1	7	+0	22
10	Sparta Rotterdam	15	6	3	6	-3	21
11	Heerenveen	17	3	7	7	-10	16
12	Heracles	16	4	4	8	-19	16
13	Zwolle	17	3	5	9	-10	14
14	Den Haag	16	3	4	9	-25	13
15	Waalwijk	16	2	5	9	-15	11
16	Willem II	17	2	5	10	-17	11
17	FC Emmen	16	2	5	9	-17	11
18	VVV Venlo	17	3	1	13	-22	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.