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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Liesveld
Cambuur
U T
1–6
Full-time
Heracles
T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 10
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cambuur 13. · Heracles 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Roda 3 2 0 1 +0 6
4 PSV Eindhoven 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Den Haag 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Zwolle 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Vitesse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Groningen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Heracles 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Utrecht 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Cambuur 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Twente 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Excelsior 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Willem II 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 De Graafschap 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur Heracles
7′
⚽ O. Tannane 0–1
T. Bruns
Martijn Van der Laan 🟨
13′
Marvin Peersman 🟨
20′
21′
⚽ O. Tannane 0–2
Calvin Mac-Intosh 🟨
27′
29′
⚽ O. Tannane 0–3
41′
⚽ O. Tannane 0–4
T. Bruns
45′
🟨 Mark Jan Fledderus
Half-time 0–4
M. Barto 🔁
↦ M. van der Laan
46′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ M. Rosheuvel
46′
47′
🟨 Ramon Zomer
58′
⚽ W. Weghorst 0–5
K. Heerings 🔁
↦ S. van de Streek
63′
73′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ B. Darri
77′
🔁 R. Gosens
↦ M. Fledderus
1–5 B. Ogbeche ⚽
81′
82′
⚽ T. Bruns 1–6
P. Gladon
84′
🔁 P. van Ooijen
↦ O. Tannane
90′
🟨 Robin Gosens
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Cambuur

22 L. Nienhuis G
21 M. van der Laan D
30 C. Mac-Intosch
23 M. Peersman D
16 D. Anderson D
8 S. Overgoor
6 E. Bakker M
20 S. van de Streek M
18 B. Ogbeche F
7 F. Narsingh F
14 M. Rosheuvel M
Bench (7)
9 M. Barto
19 V. Berisha
2 K. Heerings
11 D. Mašek
24 S. Steblecki
25 B. Schootstra
26 H. Zeinstra

Heracles

1 B. Castro G
18 R. Zomer D
12 W. Droste D
3 M. te Wierik D
23 M. Fledderus D
8 I. Bel Hassani M
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
7 B. Darri F
11 O. Tannane F
19 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
9 P. Gladon
21 R. Gosens
20 P. van Ooijen
4 G. Bosz
15 J. Navrátil
22 Gonzalo García
25 R. Fij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Richard Liesveld · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
7,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.