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Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

Ajax

S S U S S

9–0

Full-time

Cambuur

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Cambuur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

4,5

Scored

3,2

1,8

Conceded

0,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

3,5

4,3

Scored

3,3

2,3

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

69% Possession 31%

21 Shots 11

11 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

5 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Cambuur 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Willem II	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Nijmegen	5	2	2	1	-2	8
6	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Cambuur	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	-6	6
10	Groningen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Twente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Cambuur	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Willem II	3	2	0	1	-2	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Waalwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Groningen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	-3	6
3	Willem II	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-4	4
7	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.