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Eredivisie

Referee: K Blom

Groningen

T U U S T

1–1

Full-time

Waalwijk

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 18%

18%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

45%

55%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

15 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 23

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 16. · Waalwijk 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+35	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+8	24
3	Utrecht	11	7	2	2	+14	23
4	Feyenoord	10	7	1	2	+13	22
5	Vitesse	11	6	1	4	-6	19
6	Twente	12	5	3	4	+1	18
7	Nijmegen	12	5	3	4	-2	18
8	Cambuur	12	6	0	6	-5	18
9	Willem II	12	5	3	4	-5	18
10	Go Ahead Eagles	11	5	1	5	-5	16
11	Heerenveen	11	4	2	5	-3	14
12	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	0	5	+3	12
13	Heracles	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	Waalwijk	11	2	4	5	-3	10
15	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	4	6	-8	10
16	Groningen	11	2	4	5	-8	10
17	For Sittard	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Zwolle	12	1	1	10	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+26	15
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+8	15
4	Go Ahead Eagles	6	4	0	2	+4	12
5	Twente	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
7	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Willem II	6	3	1	2	-4	10
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	+7	9
10	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	+2	9
11	Nijmegen	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Waalwijk	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
14	Groningen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
15	Heerenveen	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-3	6
17	Zwolle	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	6	5	0	1	+0	15
2	Feyenoord	6	4	0	2	+7	12
3	Ajax	5	3	2	0	+9	11
4	Nijmegen	6	3	1	2	-3	10
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Cambuur	6	3	0	3	-7	9
7	Willem II	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	Heerenveen	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Twente	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	1	4	-5	4
12	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-9	4
13	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-9	4
14	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
15	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	For Sittard	5	0	2	3	-4	2
17	Heracles	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Zwolle	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.