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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
Zwolle
T S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Groningen
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
25%
40%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
80%
35%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
45%
Average goals
3,7
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 12
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 16. · Groningen 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 2 3 +42 47
2 AZ Alkmaar 21 15 2 4 +31 47
3 Feyenoord 21 11 7 3 +11 40
4 Willem II 20 11 4 5 +7 37
5 PSV Eindhoven 20 10 6 4 +19 36
6 Vitesse 21 10 5 6 +10 35
7 Utrecht 20 10 3 7 +12 33
8 Groningen 20 8 5 7 +4 29
9 Heerenveen 20 7 7 6 +4 28
10 Heracles 20 7 5 8 +3 26
11 Sparta Rotterdam 21 6 6 9 -6 24
12 Twente 21 6 6 9 -9 24
13 FC Emmen 21 6 4 11 -16 22
14 For Sittard 20 5 5 10 -21 20
15 VVV Venlo 20 6 1 13 -26 19
16 Zwolle 20 5 3 12 -17 18
17 Den Haag 21 4 5 12 -20 17
18 Waalwijk 21 3 2 16 -28 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -19 Groningen – Zwolle 2–0 29. Apr -19 Zwolle – Groningen 3–2 2. Sep -18 Groningen – Zwolle 0–1 11. Mar -18 Groningen – Zwolle 2–0 30. Sep -17 Zwolle – Groningen 3–2

Match report

Zwolle Groningen
J. Koorman 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
27′
29′
🟨 Mike te Wierik
30′
🟨 Sam Schreck
1–0 Y. Nakayama ⚽
G. Hamer
43′
Half-time 1–0
65′
🔁 A. Hrustic
↦ R. Lundqvist
65′
🔁 K. Slor
↦ S. Schreck
Sai Van Wermeskerken 🟨
77′
R. Dekker 🔁
↦ R. Strieder
78′
83′
🔁 A. El Messaoudi
↦ D. Warmerdam
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ L. Thy
86′
Bram Van Polen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Bart Van Hintum
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zwolle

5-3-2
16 M. Zetterer G
2 B. van Polen D
4 Y. Nakayama D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder M
22 P. Clement M
38 G. Hamer D
10 L. Thy F
9 M. van Duinen F
Bench (9)
32 J. Koorman
19 R. Dekker
17 D. Johnsen
1 X. Mous
49 T. van den Belt
23 E. Reijnen
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
7 V. van Crooij
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
4 M. te Wierik D
21 D. Warmerdam D
42 D. Zeefuik D
10 R. Lundqvist M
6 A. Matusiwa M
8 S. Schreck M
26 D. van Kaam M
11 J. Asoro F
29 R. Postema F
Bench (12)
23 A. Hrustic
51 K. Slor
18 A. El Messaoudi
16 J. Hoekstra
53 G. Zwikstra
52 T. Suslov
17 K. Itakura
5 S. Memišević
46 T. Poll
19 N. Jakobsen
43 J. van Kaam
36 J. de Boer

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B
2,69
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,83
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,97
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.