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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Volendam
S T U T S
2–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 55%
23%
86%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
64%
82%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
68%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
1,1
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,18 xG 1,69
33% Possession 67%
12 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 15. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 19 2 1 +40 +22.8 59
2 Feyenoord 22 13 3 6 +20 +18.2 42
3 Nijmegen 22 12 5 5 +19 +8.4 41
4 Ajax 21 9 9 3 +11 +6.2 36
5 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 3 8 -7 -2.5 36
6 Twente 22 8 10 4 +12 +23.6 34
7 AZ Alkmaar 22 9 6 7 +1 +14.0 33
8 Groningen 21 9 4 8 +3 +9.4 31
9 Heerenveen 21 7 6 8 -2 +10.8 27
10 Utrecht 21 7 5 9 +4 -2.5 26
11 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -5 -14.1 26
12 Excelsior 22 7 5 10 -13 -13.3 26
13 Zwolle 22 7 5 10 -14 -15.9 26
14 Go Ahead Eagles 22 4 11 7 -5 -12.7 23
15 Volendam 22 5 6 11 -13 -18.4 21
16 Telstar 22 3 8 11 -12 -10.7 17
17 Heracles 22 5 2 15 -26 -15.4 17
18 NAC Breda 22 3 7 12 -13 -7.9 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Volendam PSV Eindhoven
Half-time 0–0
R. van Cruijsen 🔁
↦ J. Bacuna
46′
Nick Verschuren 🟨
62′
A. Oehlers 🔁
↦ B. Pauwels
63′
64′
🔁 C. Driouech
↦ I. Perisic
64′
🔁 M. Boadu
↦ J. Schouten
64′
🔁 D. Man
↦ E. Bajraktarevic
1–0 R. van Cruijsen
67′
82′
D. Man 1–1
A. Plat 🔁
↦ O. Kokcu
84′
R. Muhren 🔁
↦ B. Ould-Chikh
84′
2–1 A. Oehlers
D. Kwakman
87′
T. Codinha 🔁
↦ B. Kuwas
89′
94′
🟨 Guus Til
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Volendam

4-1-4-1
1 K. van Oevelen G
5 P. Ugwu D
3 M. Amevor D
20 N. Verschuren D
32 Y. Leliendal D
23 D. Kwakman M
77 B. Ould-Chikh M
4 J. Bacuna M
7 O. Kokcu M
29 B. Pauwels M
10 B. Kuwas F
Bench (10)
16 R. Steur
30 A. Kabba
2 D. Payne
6 A. Plat
11 A. Oehlers
21 R. Muhren
25 L. Blondeau
27 M. Mau-Asam
38 T. Codinha
40 R. van Cruijsen

Coach: Rick Kruys

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
24 N. Schiks G
8 S. Dest D
6 R. Flamingo D
4 A. Obispo D
17 Mauro Junior D
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
19 E. Bajraktarevic M
10 P. Wanner M
5 I. Perisic M
20 G. Til F
Bench (7)
51 T. Smolenaars
3 Y. Gasiorowski
25 K. Sildillia
50 N. Verkooijen
11 C. Driouech
21 M. Boadu
27 D. Man

Coach: Peter Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
10,06
U
6,36
B
1,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.