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Eredivisie
Referee: M Nagtegaal
Volendam
T S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Utrecht
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 18/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
17%
38%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 65%
61%
69%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,40 xG 0,93
46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 17. · Utrecht 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 17 1 1 +36 +19.1 52
2 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +21 +20.3 36
3 Nijmegen 18 9 5 4 +15 +6.0 32
4 Ajax 18 8 7 3 +9 +4.0 31
5 Groningen 18 9 4 5 +7 +10.6 31
6 AZ Alkmaar 18 8 4 6 +2 +12.5 28
7 Twente 18 6 8 4 +5 +18.3 26
8 Sparta Rotterdam 18 8 2 8 -11 -2.8 26
9 Heerenveen 18 6 5 7 +1 +11.9 23
10 Zwolle 19 6 5 8 -15 -15.0 23
11 Utrecht 16 6 4 6 +5 -2.9 22
12 For Sittard 19 6 4 9 -5 -10.8 22
13 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 9 6 -3 -12.1 21
14 Excelsior 18 6 2 10 -15 -12.3 20
15 Telstar 19 3 7 9 -8 -8.6 16
16 NAC Breda 19 3 5 11 -11 -7.5 14
17 Volendam 18 3 5 10 -13 -16.4 14
18 Heracles 18 4 2 12 -20 -14.1 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Volendam Utrecht
1–0 J. Ideho
B. Kuwas
10′
Precious Ugwu 🟨
23′
28′
🟨 Miguel Rodríguez
2–0 B. Kuwas
D. Kwakman
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. de Wit
↦ G. Zechiel
49′
V. Jensen 2–1
S. Haller
59′
🔁 C. Bozdogan
↦ V. Jensen
R. van Cruijsen 🔁
↦ A. Oehlers
60′
D. Payne 🔁
↦ P. Ugwu
70′
A. Plat 🔁
↦ D. Kwakman
70′
75′
🔁 O. Agougil
↦ N. Viergever
Nick Verschuren 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Matisse Didden
87′
🔁 M. van der Hoorn
↦ M. Rodriguez
87′
🔁 A. Blake
↦ A. Engwanda
91′
🟨 Souffian El Karouani
Robin van Cruijsen 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Volendam

4-2-3-1
1 K. van Oevelen G
5 P. Ugwu D
3 M. Amevor D
20 N. Verschuren D
32 Y. Leliendal D
18 N. Bukala M
23 D. Kwakman M
11 A. Oehlers M
7 O. Kokcu M
17 J. Ideho M
10 B. Kuwas F
Bench (10)
16 R. Steur
22 D. Vlak
2 D. Payne
6 A. Plat
14 A. Meijers
21 R. Muhren
24 K. Wong-A-Soij
27 M. Mau-Asam
28 S. Esajas
40 R. van Cruijsen

Coach: Rick Kruys

Utrecht

4-4-1-1
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
40 M. Didden D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
22 M. Rodriguez M
27 A. Engwanda M
21 G. Zechiel M
10 Y. Cathline M
7 V. Jensen F
91 S. Haller F
Bench (12)
25 M. Brouwer
33 K. Gadellaa
3 M. van der Hoorn
5 K. Finnsson
6 D. van den Berg
8 C. Bozdogan
15 A. Blake
20 D. de Wit
23 N. Vesterlund
38 O. Agougil
44 M. Eerdhuijzen
55 D. Murkin

Coach: Ron Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,08
U
3,70
B
1,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.