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Champions League
Referee: J Pinheiro
PSV Eindhoven
S S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,7
Scored
2,5
3,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 58%
29%
86%
Points per game
1,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
71%
86%
Both score Ø 79%
86%
71%
Average goals
4,1
3,9
Scored
2,1
2,9
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,69 xG 1,82
43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Bayern Munich
Ivan Perišić 🟨
7′
24′
🟨 Dayot Upamecano
Jerdy Schouten 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
N. Fernandez 🔁
↦ D. Man
46′
58′
⚽ J. Musiala 0–1
L. Karl
62′
🔁 S. Gnabry
↦ J. Musiala
62′
🔁 H. Kane
↦ N. Jackson
62′
🔁 M. Olise
↦ L. Karl
62′
🔁 A. Davies
↦ D. Upamecano
1–1 I. Saibari ⚽
G. Til
78′
C. Driouech 🔁
↦ I. Perisic
82′
Guus Til 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Joshua Kimmich
84′
⚽ H. Kane 1–2
L. Diaz
85′
🔁 S. Boey
↦ T. Bischof
Mauro Júnior 🟨
86′
Mauro Júnior 🟨
93′
Mauro Júnior 🟥
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-4-2
32 M. Kovar G
8 S. Dest D
22 J. Schouten D
4 A. Obispo D
17 Mauro Junior D
27 D. Man M
10 P. Wanner M
23 J. Veerman M
5 I. Perisic M
20 G. Til F
34 I. Saibari F
Bench (10)
24 N. Schiks
51 T. Smolenaars
2 A. Salah-Eddine
6 R. Flamingo
39 A. Nagalo
31 N. Fernandez
11 C. Driouech
19 E. Bajraktarevic
50 N. Verkooijen
25 K. Sildillia

Coach: Peter Bosz

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig G
20 T. Bischof D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 J. Tah D
21 H. Ito D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlovic M
42 L. Karl M
10 J. Musiala M
14 L. Diaz M
11 N. Jackson F
Bench (11)
1 M. Neuer
26 S. Ulreich
7 S. Gnabry
8 L. Goretzka
9 H. Kane
17 M. Olise
19 A. Davies
23 S. Boey
30 C. Kiala
36 W. Mike
38 F. Chavez

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Pinheiro · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.