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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Benfica

S S S S S

3–2

Full-time

Farense

T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Farense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,5

Scored

2,7

0,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

1,5

Scored

3,5

0,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Farense 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Porto	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Nacional	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sp Braga	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Famalicao	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Boavista	3	0	2	1	-5	2
14	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nacional	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-4	1
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Farense	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.