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Premier League

Referee: L Mason

Arsenal

T S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Sheffield United

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Sheffield United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,5

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,3

1,3

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

6 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

3 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 9. · Sheffield United 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Leicester	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Leeds	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Newcastle	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	West Ham	4	2	0	2	+4	6
8	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Southampton	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Tottenham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Man City	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Man United	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Brighton	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Wolves	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	West Brom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Burnley	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Fulham	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Leicester	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Man City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Everton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Brighton	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Leeds	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Wolves	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	West Brom	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.