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Super League
Referee: G Tzovaras
PAOK
U U S U U
3–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
0,5
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
0,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Super League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 6. · OFI Crete 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Aris 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 AEK 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Olympiakos 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 OFI Crete 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 PAOK 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Volos NFC 4 1 1 2 +0 4
8 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 -2 4
9 Giannina 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Atromitos 3 0 2 1 -2 2
11 Panetolikos 4 0 2 2 -4 2
12 Larisa 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Panathinaikos 4 0 1 3 -3 1
14 Lamia 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK OFI Crete
1–0 O. El Kaddouri
S. Schwab
8′
24′
🟨 Miguel Mellado
30′
🟨 Vahid Selimović
42′
🟨 Juan Angel Neira
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Sturgeon
↦ P. Staikos
Omar El Kaddouri 🟨
49′
72′
🔁 O. Lymperakis
↦ N. Marinakis
72′
🔁 A. Giannou
↦ N. Korovesis
C. Tzolis 🔁
↦ D. Pelkas
74′
E. Lyratzis 🔁
↦ Léo Matos
74′
K. Świderski 🔁
↦ A. Čolak
81′
Sverrir Ingi Ingason 🟨
84′
85′
🔁 N. Solís
↦ M. Mellado
A. Esiti 🔁
↦ A. Živković
86′
2–0 K. Świderski
S. Schwab
89′
90′
🟨 Apostolos Diamantis
3–0 K. Świderski
C. Tzolis
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

PAOK

3-4-3
88 Ž. Živković G
3 Léo Matos D
5 Fernando Varela D
4 S. Ingason D
23 D. Giannoulis D
49 I. Michailidis D
7 O. El Kaddouri M
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković M
10 D. Pelkas M
25 A. Čolak F
Bench (9)
11 C. Tzolis
19 E. Lyratzis
9 K. Świderski
24 A. Esiti
32 N. Ninua
6 E. Mihaj
16 A. Pereira
31 A. Paschalakis
70 G. Koutsias

Coach: Abel Ferreira

OFI Crete

5-4-1
24 B. Waterman G
6 N. Marinakis D
5 V. Selimovic D
15 A. Diamantis D
2 A. Oues
34 N. Korovesis D
29 M. Mellado M
26 P. Staikos M
8 J. Neira M
22 Adrián Sardinero F
10 A. Nabi F
Bench (9)
7 Sturgeon
3 O. Lymperakis
20 A. Giannou
11 N. Solís
38 T. Mingos
23 A. Gargalatzidis
28 F. Grivas
13 N. Vafeas
32 D. Sotiriou

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
5,67
B
11,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Tzovaras · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
33,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.