Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: M Serra

Milan

U S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Spezia

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Milan Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 5. · Spezia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Sassuolo	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Verona	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Benevento	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Lazio	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Bologna	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
16	Parma	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Parma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Lazio	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Inter	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Roma	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Parma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.