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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Portimonense
S T S U T
0–2
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
6 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Porto 3 2 0 1 +6 6
4 Maritimo 3 2 0 1 +0 6
5 Nacional 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Gil Vicente 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Moreirense 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Belenenses 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Guimaraes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Famalicao 3 1 1 1 -3 4
11 Sp Braga 3 1 0 2 +1 3
12 Rio Ave 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Boavista 3 0 2 1 -5 2
14 Portimonense 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Tondela 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Farense 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Sp Lisbon
Pedro Sá 🟨
-5′
4′
Nuno Mendes 0–1
11′
Nuno Santos 0–2
L. Vietto
Welinton Júnior 🔁
↦ Lucas Tagliapietra
20′
Lucas Fernandes 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Sebastián Coates
56′
🔁 Daniel Bragança
↦ Nuno Santos
Anderson Oliveira 🔁
↦ Aylton Boa Morte
62′
Ricardo Vaz Té 🔁
↦ Beto
62′
62′
🔁 Gonçalo Inácio
↦ Z. Feddal
70′
🔁 Antunes
↦ Nuno Mendes
71′
🔁 Bruno Tabata
↦ L. Vietto
71′
🔁 G. Plata
↦ Tiago Tomás
Henrique 🔁
↦ Fali Candé
77′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Portimonense

3-4-3
94 Samuel G
27 Lucas Tagliapietra D
2 Maurício Antônio
22 K. Anzai M
28 Willyan D
7 Dener M
8 Lucas Fernandes M
9 Fabricio F
77 Aylton Boa Morte F
36 Fali Candé M
14 Beto F
Bench (9)
71 Welinton Júnior
11 Anderson Oliveira
12 Ricardo Vaz Té
19 Henrique
21 Pedro Sá
18 F. Moufi
16 Júlio César
57 S. Gonda
96 Fernando Medeiros

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Sp Lisbon

3-4-3
1 Adán G
13 Luís Carlos D
4 S. Coates D
3 Z. Feddal D
24 Pedro Porro M
5 Nuno Mendes M
28 Pedro Gonçalves M
8 Matheus Nunes M
10 L. Vietto F
11 Nuno Santos F
19 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
68 Daniel Bragança
52 Gonçalo Inácio
55 Antunes
7 Bruno Tabata
20 G. Plata
72 Eduardo Quaresma
80 Rodrigo Fernandes
81 Luís Maximiano
96 Joelson Fernandes

Coach: Emanuel Ferro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,89
U
3,54
B ✓
1,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.