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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Lazio
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Inter
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
7,0
Scored
1,5
4,5
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 8
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lazio 12. · Inter 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Atalanta 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Inter 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Milan 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Verona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Juventus 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Roma 3 1 1 1 -2 4
9 Bologna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Fiorentina 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Spezia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Lazio 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Benevento 2 1 0 1 -2 3
14 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Genoa 2 1 0 1 -3 3
16 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Torino 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Udinese 3 0 0 3 -4 0
19 Parma 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Crotone 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Inter
Bastos 🔁
↦ Ş. Radu
16′
30′
L. Martínez 0–1
I. Perišić
M. Fares 🔁
↦ A. Marušić
35′
Mohamed Fares 🟨
37′
42′
🟨 Romelu Lukaku
Half-time 0–1
M. Parolo 🔁
↦ Bastos
46′
1–1 S. Milinković-Savić
F. Acerbi
55′
67′
🔁 S. Sensi
↦ R. Gagliardini
67′
🔁 A. Young
↦ I. Perišić
Ciro Immobile 🟥
69′
70′
🟨 Arturo Vidal
73′
🔁 M. Brozović
↦ A. Vidal
77′
🟨 Ashley Young
Manuel Lazzari 🟨
79′
79′
🔁 D. D'Ambrosio
↦ M. Škriniar
79′
🔁 A. Sánchez
↦ L. Martínez
J. Akpa Akpro 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
80′
G. Escalante 🔁
↦ Lucas Leiva
80′
Patric 🟨
86′
86′
🟥 Stefano Sensi
90′
🟨 Nicolò Barella
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
33 F. Acerbi D
4 Patric D
77 A. Marušić M
6 Lucas Leiva M
10 Luis Alberto M
11 J. Correa F
29 M. Lazzari M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (11)
15 Bastos
96 M. Fares
16 M. Parolo
92 J. Akpa Akpro
18 G. Escalante
25 Pepe Reina
20 F. Caicedo
32 D. Cataldi
8 D. Anderson
71 M. Alia
13 N. Armini

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Inter

3-4-1-2
1 S. Handanovič G
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
2 A. Hakimi M
95 A. Bastoni D
14 I. Perišić M
22 A. Vidal M
5 R. Gagliardini M
23 N. Barella F
9 R. Lukaku F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (12)
12 S. Sensi
15 A. Young
77 M. Brozović
33 D. D'Ambrosio
7 A. Sánchez
11 A. Kolarov
13 A. Ranocchia
99 A. Pinamonti
97 I. Radu
27 D. Padelli
24 C. Eriksen
31 L. Pirola

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U ✓
3,75
B
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.