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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Gent
T T S S T
5–1
Full-time
Beerschot VA
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 52%
29%
75%
Points per game
0,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
57%
88%
Both score Ø 66%
57%
75%
Average goals
2,4
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

22 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 7
6 Corners 5
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 15. · Beerschot VA 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 8 6 2 0 +10 20
2 Beerschot VA 8 6 0 2 +4 18
3 Anderlecht 9 4 5 0 +8 17
4 Standard 8 5 2 1 +6 17
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 5 2 2 +3 17
6 Club Brugge 7 5 0 2 +15 15
7 Antwerp 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Kortrijk 10 4 2 4 +1 14
9 Waregem 10 4 1 5 -4 13
10 Cercle Brugge 8 4 0 4 +1 12
11 Genk 8 2 5 1 +0 11
12 Mechelen 7 3 1 3 -2 10
13 Eupen 8 1 5 2 -4 8
14 Oostende 6 1 3 2 +0 6
15 Gent 7 2 0 5 -3 6
16 St Truiden 8 1 3 4 -7 6
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
19 Mouscron 7 0 3 4 -6 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Beerschot VA
1–0 R. Yaremchuk
L. Depoitre
12′
2–0 R. Yaremchuk
O. Bukari
15′
3–0 L. Depoitre
29′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 L. Brogno
↦ D. Van den Buijs
Sulayman Marreh 🟨
51′
4–0 L. Depoitre
O. Bukari
61′
G. Chakvetadze 🔁
↦ A. Niangbo
62′
66′
🔁 M. Noubissi
↦ R. Holzhauser
M. Samoise 🔁
↦ O. Bukari
74′
78′
🟨 Joren Dom
T. Kleindienst 🔁
↦ R. Yaremchuk
78′
79′
🔁 A. Sanyang
↦ T. Tissoudali
5–0 M. Samoise
M. Mohammadi
79′
91′
I. Coulibaly 5–1
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
22 S. Marreh M
30 N. Dorsch M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
11 A. Niangbo F
20 O. Bukari F
Bench (7)
10 G. Chakvetadze
19 M. Samoise
34 T. Kleindienst
17 J. Botaka
31 B. Godeau
25 Núrio Fortuna
33 D. Roef

Coach: W. De Decker

Beerschot VA

3-5-2
31 M. Vanhamel G
15 P. Bourdin D
3 D. Prychynenko D
6 D. Van den Buijs D
2 J. Van den Bergh D
5 J. Dom D
8 R. Holzhauser M
18 R. Sanusi M
28 I. Coulibaly M
10 M. Suzuki F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
92 L. Brogno
9 M. Noubissi
22 A. Sanyang
27 M. Halaimia
4 F. Frans
7 B. Eleke
1 W. Biebauw

Coach: H. Losada

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,85
B
4,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.