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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Rio Ave
S U U T U
0–0
Full-time
Sp Braga
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 44%
23%
65%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
31%
62%
Both score Ø 43%
35%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rio Ave 14. · Sp Braga 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 27 21 6 0 +36 69
2 Porto 26 18 6 2 +31 60
3 Benfica 27 17 6 4 +30 57
4 Sp Braga 26 17 3 6 +20 54
5 Pacos Ferreira 27 13 5 9 +1 44
6 Guimaraes 27 11 5 11 -4 38
7 Santa Clara 27 10 5 12 +3 35
8 Moreirense 27 8 10 9 -7 34
9 Gil Vicente 27 9 4 14 -7 31
10 Tondela 27 9 4 14 -16 31
11 Belenenses 27 6 12 9 -7 30
12 Portimonense 26 8 5 13 -1 29
13 Boavista 27 6 10 11 -9 28
14 Rio Ave 26 6 10 10 -9 28
15 Famalicao 26 6 9 11 -11 27
16 Maritimo 27 7 3 17 -18 24
17 Farense 27 5 7 15 -12 22
18 Nacional 26 5 6 15 -20 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rio Ave Sp Braga
30′
🟨 Nuno Sequeira
Filipe Augusto 🟨
35′
Pedro Amaral 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
Aderllan Santos 🟨
61′
69′
🟨 Zé Carlos
69′
🔁 Lucas Piazón
↦ Castro
70′
🔁 A. Šporar
↦ Abel Ruiz
70′
🔁 N. Gaitán
↦ Ricardo Horta
Gelson Dala 🟥
80′
Nélson Monte 🔁
↦ Carlos Mané
85′
87′
🔁 André Horta
↦ João Novais
87′
🔁 C. Borja
↦ Nuno Sequeira
Costinha 🔁
↦ Francisco Geraldes
88′
Anderson Cruz 🔁
↦ Guga
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 P. Kieszek G
25 Ivo Pinto D
33 Aderllan Santos D
24 Pedro Amaral D
6 T. Borevković D
8 Tarantini M
5 Filipe Augusto M
11 Francisco Geraldes M
16 Guga M
21 Carlos Mané M
7 Gelson Dala F
Bench (9)
4 Nélson Monte
20 Costinha
10 Anderson Cruz
74 Magrão
45 Leandro Silva
40 R. Meshino
9 Juninho Brandão
19 Ronan
17 Fábio Coentrão

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Sp Braga

3-4-2-1
1 Matheus G
6 Rolando D
5 Nuno Sequeira D
3 Vítor Tormena D
2 Zé Carlos M
88 Castro M
27 Fransérgio F
7 João Novais M
21 Ricardo Horta F
90 Galeno M
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (9)
11 Lucas Piazón
19 A. Šporar
10 N. Gaitán
15 André Horta
26 C. Borja
86 Bruno Rodrigues
8 Ali Musrati
34 Raúl Silva
12 Tiago Sá

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,22
U ✓
3,59
B
1,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.