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Bundesliga

Referee: B Cortus

Union Berlin

U S T U U

2–1

Full-time

Stuttgart

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 34%

32%

36%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

46%

57%

Both score Ø 68%

68%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 7. · Stuttgart 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	20	5	3	+44	65
2	RB Leipzig	29	18	7	4	+29	61
3	Wolfsburg	28	15	9	4	+23	54
4	Ein Frankfurt	28	14	11	3	+19	53
5	Dortmund	28	14	4	10	+17	46
6	Leverkusen	28	12	8	8	+13	44
7	Union Berlin	28	9	13	6	+8	40
8	M'gladbach	28	10	10	8	+5	40
9	Stuttgart	28	10	9	9	+6	39
10	Freiburg	28	10	7	11	-2	37
11	Hoffenheim	29	8	8	13	-6	32
12	Augsburg	28	9	5	14	-13	32
13	Werder Bremen	28	7	9	12	-11	30
14	Mainz	28	7	7	14	-18	28
15	Hertha	28	6	8	14	-14	26
16	Bielefeld	28	7	5	16	-24	26
17	FC Koln	28	5	8	15	-23	23
18	Schalke 04	28	2	7	19	-53	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	4	0	+32	34
2	RB Leipzig	15	10	3	2	+14	33
3	Wolfsburg	13	9	4	0	+17	31
4	Ein Frankfurt	14	8	6	0	+13	30
5	Dortmund	13	7	2	4	+12	23
6	Union Berlin	14	5	8	1	+10	23
7	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+7	22
8	Freiburg	14	6	4	4	+6	22
9	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+5	22
10	Stuttgart	14	4	6	4	+4	18
11	Hoffenheim	14	5	3	6	+4	18
12	Augsburg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
13	Bielefeld	15	5	1	9	-11	16
14	Hertha	14	4	3	7	-8	15
15	Werder Bremen	14	3	4	7	-9	13
16	Mainz	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-20	9
18	FC Koln	14	1	5	8	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+15	28
3	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	5	3	+6	23
4	Wolfsburg	15	6	5	4	+6	23
5	Dortmund	15	7	2	6	+5	23
6	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+6	22
7	Stuttgart	14	6	3	5	+2	21
8	M'gladbach	14	4	6	4	+0	18
9	Werder Bremen	14	4	5	5	-2	17
10	Union Berlin	14	4	5	5	-2	17
11	Mainz	14	4	4	6	-9	16
12	Freiburg	14	4	3	7	-8	15
13	FC Koln	14	4	3	7	-13	15
14	Augsburg	14	4	2	8	-8	14
15	Hoffenheim	15	3	5	7	-10	14
16	Hertha	14	2	5	7	-6	11
17	Bielefeld	13	2	4	7	-13	10
18	Schalke 04	13	0	4	9	-33	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.