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Ligue 2
Valenciennes
S T U T S
0–1
Full-time
Guingamp
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 25%
34%
16%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 49%
44%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 3
22 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 8. · Guingamp 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 33 19 8 6 +17 65
2 Clermont 33 17 9 7 +32 60
3 Toulouse 32 17 8 7 +26 59
4 Grenoble 32 16 9 7 +16 57
5 Paris FC 32 15 10 7 +12 55
6 Auxerre 32 13 12 7 +21 51
7 Sochaux 32 11 14 7 +13 47
8 Valenciennes 32 11 10 11 -5 43
9 Nancy 32 10 11 11 +1 41
10 Amiens 31 10 10 11 -3 40
11 Le Havre 33 9 13 11 -10 40
12 Ajaccio 32 10 9 13 -10 39
13 Rodez 32 8 14 10 -5 38
14 Niort 32 9 11 12 -16 38
15 Caen 33 8 12 13 -12 36
16 Pau FC 32 9 8 15 -10 35
17 Dunkerque 31 9 7 15 -11 34
18 Guingamp 32 5 16 11 -11 31
19 Chambly 32 6 10 16 -24 28
20 Chateauroux 32 4 9 19 -21 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,60
U
3,21
B ✓
2,08
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.