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Serie B

Empoli

S S S S U

4–2

Full-time

Brescia

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 32/33 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

44%

58%

Both score Ø 60%

56%

64%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

25 Shots 9

11 Shots on target 3

8 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 1. · Brescia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	32	16	15	1	+30	63
2	Lecce	33	15	13	5	+24	58
3	Salernitana	33	15	12	6	+7	57
4	Venezia	33	14	11	8	+13	53
5	Monza	33	13	13	7	+13	52
6	Spal	34	12	14	8	+3	50
7	Chievo	32	12	12	8	+11	48
8	Cittadella	33	12	11	10	+11	47
9	Brescia	33	11	11	11	+2	44
10	Reggina	33	11	11	11	+0	44
11	Cremonese	33	11	10	12	+1	43
12	Vicenza	33	9	14	10	-3	41
13	Pisa	32	9	13	10	-6	40
14	Frosinone	33	9	13	11	-9	40
15	Pordenone	32	8	13	11	-1	37
16	Ascoli	34	9	10	15	-12	37
17	Cosenza	33	5	17	11	-9	32
18	Reggiana	33	8	7	18	-23	31
19	Pescara	33	6	10	17	-23	28
20	Virtus Entella	33	4	10	19	-29	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	16	9	6	1	+12	33
2	Empoli	15	8	7	0	+16	31
3	Chievo	17	9	4	4	+12	31
4	Venezia	17	9	2	6	+7	29
5	Monza	16	7	6	3	+11	27
6	Cittadella	16	7	6	3	+9	27
7	Spal	17	7	6	4	+6	27
8	Lecce	17	6	8	3	+10	26
9	Brescia	17	7	5	5	+6	26
10	Pisa	16	5	9	2	+3	24
11	Reggina	16	7	3	6	+1	24
12	Cremonese	17	6	5	6	+2	23
13	Ascoli	17	6	5	6	-5	23
14	Vicenza	16	4	9	3	+1	21
15	Reggiana	17	5	5	7	-4	20
16	Pordenone	15	3	9	3	+5	18
17	Frosinone	17	3	8	6	-7	17
18	Cosenza	17	2	9	6	-5	15
19	Pescara	16	3	4	9	-9	13
20	Virtus Entella	17	3	4	10	-15	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	17	8	8	1	+14	32
2	Lecce	16	9	5	2	+14	32
3	Monza	17	6	7	4	+2	25
4	Venezia	16	5	9	2	+6	24
5	Salernitana	17	6	6	5	-5	24
6	Frosinone	16	6	5	5	-2	23
7	Spal	17	5	8	4	-3	23
8	Cittadella	17	5	5	7	+2	20
9	Reggina	17	4	8	5	-1	20
10	Cremonese	16	5	5	6	-1	20
11	Vicenza	17	5	5	7	-4	20
12	Pordenone	17	5	4	8	-6	19
13	Brescia	16	4	6	6	-4	18
14	Chievo	15	3	8	4	-1	17
15	Cosenza	16	3	8	5	-4	17
16	Pisa	16	4	4	8	-9	16
17	Pescara	17	3	6	8	-14	15
18	Ascoli	17	3	5	9	-7	14
19	Reggiana	16	3	2	11	-19	11
20	Virtus Entella	16	1	6	9	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.