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Ekstraklasa

Rakow

S U U U S

3–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/24 matches

Win Ø 39%

48%

29%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

52%

54%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 3. · Lech Poznan 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	24	16	4	4	+21	52
2	Pogon Szczecin	25	14	5	6	+15	47
3	Rakow	23	11	7	5	+11	40
4	Piast Gliwice	25	10	8	7	+8	38
5	Lechia Gdansk	25	11	5	9	+6	38
6	Slask Wroclaw	25	9	8	8	+4	35
7	Gornik Zabrze	25	9	6	10	+0	33
8	Warta Poznan	24	10	3	11	+0	33
9	Zaglebie	24	9	5	10	-3	32
10	Jagiellonia	24	9	4	11	-6	31
11	Lech Poznan	24	7	9	8	+1	30
12	Wisla	24	7	7	10	+1	28
13	Cracovia	24	6	10	8	-5	28
14	Wisla Plock	24	6	7	11	-10	25
15	Podbeskidzie	25	5	6	14	-28	21
16	Stal Mielec	23	4	8	11	-15	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	4	1	+10	25
2	Legia	12	8	1	3	+9	25
3	Slask Wroclaw	12	6	5	1	+7	23
4	Rakow	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Zaglebie	12	6	3	3	+2	21
6	Lechia Gdansk	13	6	2	5	+6	20
7	Jagiellonia	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Piast Gliwice	12	5	3	4	+3	18
9	Gornik Zabrze	13	5	3	5	+2	18
10	Podbeskidzie	13	5	3	5	-7	18
11	Warta Poznan	12	5	2	5	+0	17
12	Cracovia	12	4	5	3	-1	17
13	Lech Poznan	12	3	6	3	+0	15
14	Wisla	12	4	1	7	-3	13
15	Stal Mielec	11	3	4	4	-6	13
16	Wisla Plock	12	3	3	6	-3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	12	8	3	1	+12	27
2	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	1	5	+5	22
3	Piast Gliwice	13	5	5	3	+5	20
4	Rakow	11	5	4	2	+6	19
5	Lechia Gdansk	12	5	3	4	+0	18
6	Warta Poznan	12	5	1	6	+0	16
7	Wisla	12	3	6	3	+4	15
8	Lech Poznan	12	4	3	5	+1	15
9	Gornik Zabrze	12	4	3	5	-2	15
10	Wisla Plock	12	3	4	5	-7	13
11	Jagiellonia	12	4	1	7	-9	13
12	Slask Wroclaw	13	3	3	7	-3	12
13	Cracovia	12	2	5	5	-4	11
14	Zaglebie	12	3	2	7	-5	11
15	Stal Mielec	12	1	4	7	-9	7
16	Podbeskidzie	12	0	3	9	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.