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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Sp Lisbon

S S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Boavista

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Boavista

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 50%

85%

15%

Points per game

2,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

31%

54%

Both score Ø 54%

38%

69%

Average goals

2,1

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 2. · Boavista 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	13	11	2	0	+25	35
2	Sp Lisbon	13	11	2	0	+17	35
3	Benfica	13	10	1	2	+25	31
4	Sp Braga	13	7	4	2	+8	25
5	Guimaraes	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	Estoril	13	5	6	2	+5	21
7	Gil Vicente	14	5	5	4	+5	20
8	Portimonense	13	6	2	5	+1	20
9	Maritimo	14	3	5	6	-2	14
10	Arouca	13	3	4	6	-6	13
11	Boavista	13	2	6	5	-7	12
12	Tondela	13	4	0	9	-9	12
13	Pacos Ferreira	14	2	5	7	-9	11
14	Famalicao	13	2	4	7	-8	10
15	Vizela	12	1	7	4	-10	10
16	Santa Clara	14	2	4	8	-18	10
17	Moreirense	12	1	6	5	-8	9
18	Belenenses	12	1	5	6	-15	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Porto	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Sp Braga	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Guimaraes	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Benfica	6	4	0	2	+7	12
6	Boavista	7	2	4	1	+2	10
7	Arouca	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Maritimo	7	2	3	2	+2	9
9	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+0	9
10	Gil Vicente	7	2	2	3	+3	8
11	Santa Clara	7	2	2	3	-8	8
12	Estoril	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Vizela	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Portimonense	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Moreirense	6	1	3	2	-1	6
16	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Belenenses	6	1	2	3	-9	5
18	Famalicao	6	0	3	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Porto	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+7	16
4	Estoril	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Portimonense	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Gil Vicente	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	-1	11
8	Guimaraes	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Famalicao	7	2	1	4	-3	7
10	Maritimo	7	1	2	4	-4	5
11	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Belenenses	6	0	3	3	-6	3
13	Arouca	7	0	3	4	-7	3
14	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-7	3
15	Tondela	7	1	0	6	-9	3
16	Vizela	6	0	3	3	-10	3
17	Boavista	6	0	2	4	-9	2
18	Santa Clara	7	0	2	5	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.