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Pro League
Referee: Wesli De Cremer
Mechelen
T S S S U
3–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,7
This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
7 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 3. · Cercle Brugge 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 5 4 1 0 +12 13
2 Antwerp 4 3 0 1 +8 9
3 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Kortrijk 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Mouscron 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Standard 3 2 0 1 +5 6
8 Genk 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Oostende 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Charleroi 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Gent 4 1 1 2 +3 4
12 Anderlecht 5 0 3 2 -3 3
13 Waregem 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 St Truiden 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Eupen 5 0 3 2 -8 3
16 Beveren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Waasland-Beveren 4 0 1 3 -9 1
18 Cercle Brugge 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Cercle Brugge
24′
K. Dabila 0–1
S. Peeters
34′
🟨 Stephane Omeonga
Half-time 0–1
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ L. Bijker
46′
1–1 W. Togui
60′
66′
🟨 Julien Serrano
2–1 N. Storm
67′
68′
🟨 Kouadio Dabila
74′
🔁 W. Balikwisha
↦ S. Omeonga
79′
🟨 Kylian Hazard
3–1 I. de Camargo
83′
84′
🔁 A. Bongiovanni
↦ Jordi Mboula
85′
🔁 C. Fiore
↦ K. Dabila
S. Bateau 🔁
↦ W. Togui
87′
D. Vanzeir 🔁
↦ N. Storm
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-4-2
1 B. Castro G
5 A. Swinkels D
3 L. Bijker D
22 A. Corryn D
23 T. Peyre D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
16 R. Schoofs M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm F
9 W. Togui F
Bench (7)
30 J. Vanlerberghe
4 S. Bateau
31 D. Vanzeir
12 S. Bouzian
19 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
21 C. Tainmont
33 G. Alexander

Coach: W. Vrancken

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
40 L. Badiashile G
5 N. Ueda D
22 K. Dabila D
3 J. Serrano D
41 G. Biancone D
8 S. Peeters M
21 S. Omeonga M
19 K. N'Guessan M
9 I. Saadi F
7 K. Hazard F
17 Jordi Mboula F
Bench (7)
23 W. Balikwisha
10 A. Bongiovanni
24 C. Fiore
1 G. Hubert
27 O. Deman
20 K. Hoggas
6 A. Deuro

Coach: F. Mercadal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
U
4,65
B
7,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesli De Cremer · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.