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2. Bundesliga

Bielefeld

U U

3–1

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 8

9 Corners 1

17 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bielefeld 12. · Erzgebirge Aue 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Erzgebirge Aue	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Regensburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Darmstadt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Stuttgart	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sandhausen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Osnabruck	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Holstein Kiel	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Bochum	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Wehen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Dresden	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Erzgebirge Aue	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sandhausen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Heidenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Erzgebirge Aue	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Osnabruck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Darmstadt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.