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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Toulouse

U U T T U

1–0

Full-time

Dijon

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 10. · Dijon 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Reims	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Angers	2	1	0	1	-4	3
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Marseille	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Reims	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Angers	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.