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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Nantes
S U U T T
0–0
Full-time
Marseille
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 15. · Marseille 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +9 6
2 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Reims 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Angers 2 1 0 1 -4 3
9 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Nantes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Marseille 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Monaco 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Nimes 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Marseille
42′
🟨 Morgan Sanson
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Boubacar Kamara
S. Moutoussamy 🔁
↦ M. Abeid
67′
69′
🔁 K. Strootman
↦ M. Sanson
K. Bamba 🔁
↦ C. Traoré
74′
78′
🔁 N. Radonjić
↦ B. Sarr
85′
🔁 V. Germain
↦ D. Benedetto
87′
🟨 Kevin Strootman
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
2 Fábio D
6 Lucas Lima M
4 N. Pallois D
14 C. Traoré D
11 M. Abeid M
20 Andrei Girotto D
19 A. Touré M
28 V. Rongier M
26 I. Louza M
7 K. Coulibaly F
Bench (7)
18 S. Moutoussamy
32 K. Bamba
10 C. Benavente
16 A. Olliero
24 E. Youan
12 D. Appiah
13 M. Wagué

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Marseille

4-3-3
30 S. Mandanda G
2 H. Sakai D
17 B. Sarr F
3 Álvaro González D
18 J. Amavi D
4 B. Kamara D
10 D. Payet F
19 Luiz Gustavo M
8 M. Sanson M
27 M. Lopez M
9 D. Benedetto F
Bench (7)
12 K. Strootman
7 N. Radonjić
28 V. Germain
29 F. Chabrolle
16 Y. Pelé
15 D. Ćaleta-Car
24 S. Khaoui

Coach: André Villas-Boas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
3,16
B
2,88
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.