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Pro League
Mouscron
S U S T T
3–1
Full-time
Beerschot VA
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mouscron Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
5,0
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
13%
63%
Points per game
0,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
33%
88%
Both score Ø 61%
40%
81%
Average goals
2,3
4,8
Scored
0,6
2,6
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 7
13 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mouscron 19. · Beerschot VA 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17 9 4 4 +6 31
3 Beerschot VA 16 10 1 5 +5 31
4 Club Brugge 15 8 4 3 +18 28
5 Antwerp 14 7 5 2 +8 26
6 Charleroi 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Anderlecht 15 5 9 1 +9 24
8 Standard 14 6 6 2 +5 24
9 Eupen 17 5 9 3 -1 24
10 Kortrijk 17 6 5 6 +1 23
11 Cercle Brugge 17 7 0 10 -4 21
12 Waregem 17 6 3 8 -5 21
13 Gent 15 6 1 8 +1 19
14 Oostende 14 4 4 6 +1 16
15 Mechelen 13 4 4 5 -3 16
16 Waasland-Beveren 15 4 3 8 -9 15
17 Beveren 15 4 3 8 -9 15
18 St Truiden 17 2 6 9 -12 12
19 Mouscron 15 2 4 9 -16 10
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 2 4 9 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,51
U
3,87
B
1,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,32
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.