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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Genk
U S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Gent
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
59%
57%
Both score Ø 65%
77%
52%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 25
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 5. · Gent 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 13 4 4 +28 43
2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 25 12 6 7 +7 42
3 Waregem 26 13 3 10 +5 42
4 Antwerp 21 12 5 4 +13 41
5 Genk 22 11 7 4 +17 40
6 Charleroi 24 10 4 10 +1 34
7 Eupen 24 8 10 6 -3 34
8 Anderlecht 21 8 9 4 +11 33
9 Standard 21 9 6 6 +6 33
10 Beerschot VA 24 10 3 11 -7 33
11 Kortrijk 24 9 5 10 -4 32
12 Mechelen 21 9 4 8 -1 31
13 Gent 21 9 2 10 +6 29
14 Oostende 21 8 5 8 +3 29
15 St Truiden 24 7 6 11 -6 27
16 Cercle Brugge 24 7 1 16 -10 22
17 Mouscron 22 5 6 11 -13 21
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 5 6 11 -13 21
19 Waasland-Beveren 22 5 5 12 -20 20
20 Beveren 22 5 5 12 -20 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Gent
1–0 P. Onuachu ⚽
T. Bongonda
7′
Carlos Cuesta 🟥
13′
Bastien Toma 🟨
25′
K. Thorstvedt 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
31′
Danny Vukovic 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Michael Ngadeu
Half-time 1–1
48′
⚽ R. Yaremchuk 1–1
S. Kums
58′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui
60′
🟨 Niklas Dorsch
70′
🔁 A. Niangbo
↦ A. Castro-Montes
74′
🔁 E. Owusu
↦ S. Kums
74′
🔁 D. Arslanagić
↦ N. Dorsch
83′
🟨 Laurent Depoitre
83′
🟨 Sulayman Marreh
E. Kouassi 🔁
↦ J. Ito
85′
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ B. Toma
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

3-4-3
1 D. Vuković G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
77 A. Preciado D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
8 B. Heynen M
14 B. Toma M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
42 K. Thorstvedt
38 E. Kouassi
9 C. Dessers
17 P. Hrošovský
26 M. Vandevoordt
24 L. Oyen
80 P. Dwomoh

Coach: J. van den Brom

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 S. Bolat G
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
24 S. Kums M
22 S. Marreh M
30 N. Dorsch M
7 R. Yaremchuk F
20 O. Bukari F
Bench (7)
29 L. Depoitre
11 A. Niangbo
6 E. Owusu
36 D. Arslanagić
33 D. Roef
32 I. Plastun
9 R. Bezus

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U ✓
3,63
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

N Laforge · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.