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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Kortrijk
U T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Genk
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,0
This season — Pro League · 21/19 matches
Win Ø 48%
38%
58%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
62%
63%
Both score Ø 68%
52%
84%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 3
19 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 9. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 19 11 7 1 +22 40
2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 10 6 6 +7 36
3 Waregem 23 11 3 9 -2 36
4 Antwerp 18 10 5 3 +14 35
5 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +23 34
6 Charleroi 21 10 4 7 +6 34
7 Beerschot VA 20 10 1 9 -2 31
8 Anderlecht 18 7 9 2 +11 30
9 Kortrijk 21 8 5 8 -2 29
10 Gent 19 9 1 9 +7 28
11 Mechelen 19 7 4 8 -5 25
12 Standard 18 6 6 6 +1 24
13 Eupen 20 5 9 6 -8 24
14 Oostende 17 6 4 7 +2 22
15 Cercle Brugge 20 7 0 13 -7 21
16 St Truiden 21 5 6 10 -9 21
17 Waasland-Beveren 19 5 4 10 -14 19
18 Beveren 19 5 4 10 -14 19
19 Mouscron 20 4 5 11 -15 17
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 4 5 11 -15 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Genk
1–0 H. Guèye
J. De Sart
23′
41′
P. Onuachu 1–1
D. Muñoz
Half-time 2–1
2–1 H. Guèye
F. Selemani
54′
Brendan Hines-Ike 🟨
57′
60′
🟨 Kouassi Eboue
60′
🔁 P. Hrošovský
↦ B. Toma
60′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ E. Kouassi
73′
🟨 Junya Ito
80′
🔁 B. Limbombe
↦ J. Uronen
T. Chevalier 🔁
↦ H. Guèye
83′
C. Lepoint 🔁
↦ F. Selemani
89′
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-4-1-2
31 M. Ilić G
76 T. Derijck D
4 G. Dewaele D
2 P. Golubović D
3 B. Hines-Ike D
25 Y. Makarenko M
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
23 J. De Sart M
10 F. Selemani M
51 E. Ocansey F
17 H. Guèye F
Bench (7)
34 T. Chevalier
15 C. Lepoint
27 M. Jonckheere
20 S. Sissoko
1 A. Jakubech
11 J. Stojanović
41 Y. Van Den Bossche

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Genk

4-1-2-3
1 D. Vuković G
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
23 D. Muñoz D
8 B. Heynen M
11 B. Toma M
38 E. Kouassi M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
17 P. Hrošovský
9 C. Dessers
22 B. Limbombe
26 M. Vandevoordt
80 P. Dwomoh
5 G. Arteaga
42 K. Thorstvedt

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,25
U
3,37
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.