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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Gent
S T T S S
3–0
Full-time
Mechelen
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
67%
71%
Both score Ø 77%
83%
71%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

13 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 0
7 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 10. · Mechelen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 8 6 0 2 +14 18
2 Club Brugge 7 5 2 0 +14 17
3 Antwerp 7 5 0 2 +9 15
4 Charleroi 7 4 2 1 +8 14
5 Genk 8 4 1 3 +5 13
6 Mechelen 7 3 3 1 +5 12
7 Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
9 Waregem 7 3 2 2 +0 11
10 Gent 6 3 1 2 +6 10
11 Oostende 7 3 1 3 -3 10
12 St Truiden 9 2 3 4 -7 9
13 Kortrijk 6 2 2 2 +2 8
14 Anderlecht 8 1 3 4 -4 6
15 Cercle Brugge 8 2 0 6 -9 6
16 Eupen 9 0 4 5 -14 4
17 Waasland-Beveren 7 0 2 5 -14 2
18 Beveren 7 0 2 5 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Mechelen
8′
🟨 Geoffry Hairemans
19′
🟨 Rob Schoofs
Jonathan David 🟨
28′
1–0 R. Yaremchuk
V. Odjidja-Ofoe
29′
2–0 J. David
M. Lustig
31′
C. Coosemans 🔁
↦ T. Kaminski
40′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 L. Depoitre
46′
46′
🔁 W. Togui
↦ G. Hairemans
46′
🔁 A. Vranckx
↦ T. Peyre
D. Bronn 🔁
↦ E. Owusu
56′
69′
🔁 C. Tainmont
↦ D. Vanzeir
73′
🟨 Sheldon Bateau
G. Kvilitaia 🔁
↦ J. David
73′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-1-2
1 T. Kaminski G
21 N. Asare D
23 M. Lustig D
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
26 C. Coosemans
28 D. Bronn
13 G. Kvilitaia
19 B. Dejaegere
9 R. Bezus
15 M. Mohammadi
11 J. Dompé

Coach: J. Thorup

Mechelen

5-4-1
15 Y. Thoelen
5 A. Swinkels D
4 S. Bateau D
22 A. Corryn D
23 T. Peyre D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
11 N. Storm F
31 D. Vanzeir F
Bench (7)
9 W. Togui
40 A. Vranckx
21 C. Tainmont
13 J. Van Damme
33 G. Alexander
1 B. Castro
30 J. Vanlerberghe

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,47
B
5,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.