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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Gent
S T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Mechelen
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
4,3
3,8
Scored
3,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 49%
47%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
59%
75%
Both score Ø 60%
47%
72%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 9. · Mechelen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 32 23 5 4 +50 74
2 Antwerp 33 19 7 7 +18 64
3 Genk 33 17 10 6 +24 61
4 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
5 Mechelen 32 16 7 9 +10 55
6 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
7 Oostende 33 15 7 11 +10 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
9 Gent 32 15 6 11 +23 51
10 Anderlecht 32 11 16 5 +15 49
11 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
12 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
13 Standard 33 12 9 12 +3 45
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 35 8 8 19 -26 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Mechelen
Elisha Owusu 🟨
7′
29′
N. Storm 0–1
K. Mrabti
32′
F. Druijf 0–2
N. Storm
39′
🟨 Rob Schoofs
Half-time 1–2
1–2 R. Yaremchuk
T. Tissoudali
46′
2–2 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
R. Bezus
49′
58′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ F. Druijf
67′
🔁 A. Vranckx
↦ S. Defour
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
73′
S. Kums 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
73′
N. Dorsch 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
73′
83′
🔁 I. Kaboré
↦ L. Bijker
84′
🔁 M. Shved
↦ K. Mrabti
A. De Bruyn 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
1 S. Bolat G
31 B. Godeau D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes F
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
9 R. Bezus M
6 E. Owusu M
34 T. Tissoudali F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
23 Y. Malede
24 S. Kums
30 N. Dorsch
12 A. De Bruyn
36 D. Arslanagić
33 D. Roef
29 L. Depoitre

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
88 S. Defour M
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
9 F. Druijf F
Bench (7)
10 I. de Camargo
40 A. Vranckx
29 I. Kaboré
35 M. Shved
4 S. Bateau
32 M. Wenssens
8 O. Kaya

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
3,91
B
4,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.