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Referee: K Van Damme

Charleroi

S T S S S

0–3

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 17/21 matches

Win Ø 39%

53%

24%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

71%

62%

Both score Ø 65%

53%

76%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

19 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 6. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	19	15	2	2	+32	47
2	Anderlecht	18	11	6	1	+29	39
3	Club Brugge	18	11	4	3	+13	37
4	Kortrijk	22	10	7	5	+8	37
5	Antwerp	18	10	3	5	+11	33
6	Charleroi	17	9	5	3	+15	32
7	Genk	17	8	4	5	+14	28
8	Cercle Brugge	23	8	4	11	+1	28
9	Gent	17	7	5	5	+7	26
10	Mechelen	18	8	2	8	-2	26
11	Standard	21	7	5	9	-11	26
12	Oostende	22	8	2	12	-19	26
13	Eupen	21	7	4	10	-5	25
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	5	8	8	-10	23
15	Waregem	22	6	5	11	-18	23
16	St Truiden	21	6	3	12	-13	21
17	Seraing United	20	6	1	13	-17	19
18	Seraing	21	6	1	14	-19	19
19	Beerschot VA	20	3	3	14	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+16	25
2	Club Brugge	10	6	4	0	+11	22
3	Anderlecht	9	6	3	0	+16	21
4	Antwerp	9	6	1	2	+8	19
5	Mechelen	9	6	1	2	+7	19
6	Kortrijk	10	5	3	2	+4	18
7	Gent	7	5	1	1	+9	16
8	Genk	9	4	3	2	+9	15
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	4	3	5	-5	15
10	Cercle Brugge	12	4	2	6	+0	14
11	Seraing	10	4	1	5	-3	13
12	Seraing United	10	4	1	5	-3	13
13	Oostende	11	4	1	6	-14	13
14	Eupen	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Charleroi	7	3	2	2	+4	11
16	Waregem	11	3	2	6	-10	11
17	Beerschot VA	11	3	0	8	-5	9
18	Standard	10	2	3	5	-7	9
19	St Truiden	10	2	2	6	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	7	1	1	+16	22
2	Charleroi	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Kortrijk	12	5	4	3	+4	19
4	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+13	18
5	Standard	11	5	2	4	-4	17
6	Club Brugge	8	5	0	3	+2	15
7	Antwerp	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Cercle Brugge	11	4	2	5	+1	14
9	Genk	8	4	1	3	+5	13
10	Eupen	10	4	1	5	+0	13
11	Oostende	11	4	1	6	-5	13
12	St Truiden	11	4	1	6	-7	13
13	Waregem	11	3	3	5	-8	12
14	Gent	10	2	4	4	-2	10
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Mechelen	9	2	1	6	-9	7
17	Seraing United	10	2	0	8	-14	6
18	Seraing	11	2	0	9	-16	6
19	Beerschot VA	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.