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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Charleroi
S S S T S
1–3
Full-time
Anderlecht
U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
69%
62%
Both score Ø 66%
62%
69%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,9
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 5. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 14 11 1 2 +26 34
2 Kortrijk 17 6 7 4 +3 25
3 Anderlecht 13 6 6 1 +14 24
4 Genk 14 7 3 4 +11 24
5 Charleroi 13 6 5 2 +9 23
6 Antwerp 13 7 2 4 +6 23
7 Mechelen 15 7 2 6 -1 23
8 Standard 16 6 5 5 -5 23
9 Club Brugge 12 6 4 2 +6 22
10 Eupen 17 6 4 7 +1 22
11 St Truiden 17 6 3 8 -8 21
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17 4 8 5 -6 20
13 Oostende 16 6 2 8 -12 20
14 Seraing 16 6 1 9 -7 19
15 Seraing United 16 6 1 9 -7 19
16 Gent 13 4 4 5 +3 16
17 Waregem 16 3 5 8 -16 14
18 Cercle Brugge 17 3 4 10 -7 13
19 Beerschot VA 16 3 3 10 -10 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Anderlecht
45′
L. Refaelov 0–1
J. Zirkzee
Half-time 0–1
Ali Gholizadeh 🟨
51′
58′
🟨 Francis Amuzu
A. Zaroury 🔁
↦ A. Zorgane
61′
68′
Sergio Gómez 0–2
71′
🔁 Y. Verschaeren
↦ L. Refaelov
K. Zedadka 🔁
↦ J. Kayembe
74′
A. Descotte 🔁
↦ L. Bessilé
74′
1–2 M. Ilaimaharitra
R. Morioka
77′
80′
🔁 M. Ashimeru
↦ F. Amuzu
80′
🔁 T. Harwood-Bellis
↦ J. Zirkzee
85′
ℹ️ Yari Verschaeren
VAR: Penalty confirmed
86′
Sergio Gómez 1–3
Stelios Andreou ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
96′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-5-2
16 H. Koffi G
12 J. Kayembe M
3 S. Knežević D
5 L. Bessilé D
21 S. Andreou D
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
6 A. Zorgane M
38 J. Tchatchoua M
10 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
70 A. Zaroury
7 K. Zedadka
15 A. Descotte
30 G. Gillet
27 M. Fall
13 D. Desprez
31 M. Wasinski

Coach: E. Still

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
2 L. Magallán D
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
17 Sergio Gómez D
11 L. Refaelov M
20 K. Olsson M
8 J. Cullen M
7 F. Amuzu M
99 C. Kouamé F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
51 Y. Verschaeren
18 M. Ashimeru
6 T. Harwood-Bellis
46 A. Ait El Hadj
52 M. Stroeykens
14 B. Mykhaylichenko
26 C. Coosemans

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,36
U
3,60
B ✓
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.