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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
St. Gilloise
S S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 65%
50%
80%
Points per game
1,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 10. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 6 6 0 0 +16 18
2 Antwerp 5 5 0 0 +7 15
3 Anderlecht 5 4 0 1 +8 12
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 4 0 2 +2 12
5 Charleroi 7 4 0 3 +1 12
6 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +5 10
7 St Truiden 6 2 3 1 +0 9
8 Waregem 7 2 2 3 -2 8
9 Mechelen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
10 St. Gilloise 4 2 1 1 -1 7
11 Kortrijk 7 2 1 4 -3 7
12 Oostende 6 2 0 4 -3 6
13 Cercle Brugge 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Gent 3 1 1 1 +1 4
15 Standard 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Eupen 6 1 0 5 -8 3
17 Seraing 6 1 0 5 -8 3
18 Seraing United 6 1 0 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Anderlecht
1–0 V. Boniface
2′
12′
A. Murillo 1–1
K. Arnstad
2–1 D. Vanzeir
B. Nieuwkoop
31′
41′
🟨 Marco Kana
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Fábio Silva
↦ B. Raman
46′
🔁 L. Refaelov
↦ F. Amuzu
46′
🔁 N. Sadiki
↦ M. Kana
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
59′
José Rodríguez 🔁
↦ S. Lynen
61′
I. Kandouss 🔁
↦ R. Sykes
61′
68′
🔁 K. Olsson
↦ K. Arnstad
Bart Nieuwkoop 🟨
69′
S. Adingra 🔁
↦ V. Boniface
71′
74′
🔁 M. Stroeykens
↦ W. Hoedt
O. El Azzouzi 🔁
↦ T. Teuma
80′
85′
ℹ️ Lior Refaelov
VAR: Penalty cancelled
José Rodríguez 🟨
90′
90′
ℹ️ Sebastiano Esposito
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
17 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
13 D. Vanzeir F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
4 José Rodríguez
59 I. Kandouss
11 S. Adingra
6 O. El Azzouzi
21 L. Pirard
19 G. François
9 D. Eckert Ayensa

Coach: K. Geraerts

Anderlecht

3-5-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
56 Z. Debast D
4 W. Hoedt D
3 H. Delcroix D
62 A. Murillo M
61 K. Arnstad
55 M. Kana M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
7 F. Amuzu M
9 B. Raman F
70 S. Esposito F
Bench (7)
99 Fábio Silva
11 L. Refaelov
27 N. Sadiki
20 K. Olsson
29 M. Stroeykens
16 B. Verbruggen
54 K. Sardella

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
3,50
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.