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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Gent
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
0,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 58%
52%
63%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
59%
Both score Ø 48%
44%
52%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
5 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
2 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 28 21 4 3 +47 67
2 Club Brugge 28 19 5 4 +33 62
3 Anderlecht 27 17 8 2 +44 59
4 Antwerp 28 18 4 6 +21 58
5 Gent 27 14 7 6 +20 49
6 Charleroi 28 14 7 7 +15 49
7 Cercle Brugge 34 13 7 14 +4 46
8 St Truiden 33 13 6 14 -4 45
9 Mechelen 28 13 5 10 +0 44
10 Kortrijk 34 11 10 13 +1 43
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34 10 12 12 -7 42
12 Genk 27 12 5 10 +16 41
13 Standard 34 10 9 15 -14 39
14 Oostende 33 10 6 17 -28 36
15 Waregem 34 9 8 17 -25 35
16 Eupen 34 8 9 17 -18 33
17 Seraing 32 8 3 21 -36 27
18 Seraing United 32 8 3 21 -36 27
19 Beerschot VA 33 5 4 24 -33 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Anderlecht
19′
🟨 Lisandro Magallán
29′
🟨 Sergio Gómez
Half-time 0–0
77′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ J. Zirkzee
77′
🔁 A. Ait El Hadj
↦ L. Refaelov
E. Owusu 🔁
↦ A. Hjulsager
80′
D. Lemajić 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
80′
1–0 T. Tissoudali
S. Kums
81′
A. Hanche-Olsen 🔁
↦ M. Samoise
85′
Núrio Fortuna 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
85′
85′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ Y. Verschaeren
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Gent

3-5-2
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngadeu D
20 J. Torunarigha D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
2 J. Okumu D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
17 A. Hjulsager M
18 M. Samoise M
29 L. Depoitre F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (8)
6 E. Owusu
11 D. Lemajić
21 A. Hanche-Olsen
25 Núrio Fortuna
9 R. Bezus
31 B. Godeau
22 S. Marreh
1 S. Bolat

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
2 L. Magallán D
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
17 Sergio Gómez D
11 L. Refaelov M
8 J. Cullen M
18 M. Ashimeru M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
99 C. Kouamé F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (10)
9 B. Raman
46 A. Ait El Hadj
7 F. Amuzu
14 B. Mykhaylichenko
20 K. Olsson
54 K. Sardella
26 C. Coosemans
55 M. Kana
52 M. Stroeykens
16 B. Verbruggen

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
U
3,29
B
3,06
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.