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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Genk
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
St Truiden
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,0
Scored
3,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,0
Scored
3,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 1. · St Truiden 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 6 6 0 0 +16 18
2 Antwerp 5 5 0 0 +7 15
3 Club Brugge 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Anderlecht 7 4 0 3 +6 12
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Charleroi 7 4 0 3 +1 12
7 St. Gilloise 5 3 1 1 +0 10
8 St Truiden 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Waregem 7 2 2 3 -2 8
10 Gent 4 2 1 1 +2 7
11 Mechelen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Kortrijk 7 2 1 4 -3 7
13 Oostende 6 2 0 4 -3 6
14 Eupen 7 2 0 5 -7 6
15 Cercle Brugge 5 1 2 2 -4 5
16 Standard 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Seraing 6 1 0 5 -8 3
18 Seraing United 6 1 0 5 -8 3
19 Westerlo 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk St Truiden
Half-time 0–0
Joseph Paintsil 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Robert Bauer
53′
ℹ️ Mory Konate
VAR: Card reviewed
55′
🔁 G. Bruno
↦ D. Hayashi
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ M. Trésor
65′
N. Castro 🔁
↦ A. Németh
66′
M. Galarza 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
80′
85′
🔁 S. Van Dessel
↦ S. Kagawa
P. Onuachu 🔁
↦ J. Paintsil
89′
89′
🔁 F. Boya
↦ S. Okazaki
93′
🟨 Stan Van Dessel
95′
🟨 Toni Leistner
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
35 A. Németh F
Bench (7)
7 M. Samatta
10 N. Castro
25 M. Galarza
18 P. Onuachu
40 T. Leysen
77 A. Preciado
27 M. Didden

Coach: W. Vrancken

St Truiden

3-4-1-2
21 D. Schmidt G
22 W. Janssens D
37 T. Leistner D
3 A. Al-Dakhil D
4 D. Hashioka M
44 C. Brüls M
6 M. Konaté M
20 R. Bauer M
10 S. Kagawa F
8 D. Hayashi F
30 S. Okazaki F
Bench (7)
91 G. Bruno
19 S. Van Dessel
27 F. Boya
12 J. Coppens
11 F. Kaya
77 E. Bocat
16 M. Smets

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,65
U ✓
4,03
B
4,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.