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Pro League

Referee: A Denil

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T S S S U

1–2

Full-time

RWD Molenbeek

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven RWD Molenbeek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

20%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

60%

Both score Ø 44%

67%

20%

Average goals

3,5

2,4

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

1,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,11 xG 2,22

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

15 Corners 6

5 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9. · RWD Molenbeek 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eupen	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.7	4
2	Genk	2	1	0	1	+3	+4.1	3
3	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
6	Westerlo	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
8	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
10	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.7	1
11	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
12	Standard	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
13	RWD Molenbeek	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
2	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Eupen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
4	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
5	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
6	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
7	Standard	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
8	RWD Molenbeek	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Eupen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
3	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
4	Westerlo	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
5	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
7	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
8	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.