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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Middlesbrough
S T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Millwall
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,74 xG 1,23
68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Jan -23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–0 8. Oct -22 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 12. Mar -22 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–0 20. Nov -21 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–1 20. Mar -21 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–0

Match report

Middlesbrough Millwall
25′
🟨 Joe Bryan
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Kevin Nisbet
64′
🔁 G. Saville
↦ C. De Norre
S. Silvera 🔁
↦ H. Coulson
69′
73′
🔁 A. Emakhu
↦ Z. Flemming
73′
🔁 R. Esse
↦ D. Watmore
J. Howson 🔁
↦ D. Barlaser
76′
79′
⚽ R. Esse 0–1
A. Emakhu
Jonathan Howson 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Jake Cooper
I. Jones 🔁
↦ M. Crooks
87′
90′
🔁 R. Leonard
↦ J. Bryan
90′
🔁 T. Bradshaw
↦ K. Nisbet
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dieng G
17 P. McNair D
6 D. Fry D
26 D. Lenihan D
22 H. Coulson D
4 D. Barlaser M
7 H. Hackney M
21 M. Forss M
25 M. Crooks M
8 R. McGree M
10 M. Rogers F
Bench (9)
18 S. Silvera
16 J. Howson
11 I. Jones
3 R. van den Berg
29 C. Akpom
20 M. Payero
23 T. Glover
14 A. Gilbert
19 J. Coburn

Coach: M. Carrick

Millwall

3-5-2
20 M. Šarkić G
4 S. Hutchinson D
5 J. Cooper D
3 M. Wallace D
2 D. McNamara M
8 B. Mitchell M
24 C. De Norre M
19 D. Watmore M
15 J. Bryan M
10 Z. Flemming F
7 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
23 G. Saville
22 A. Emakhu
25 R. Esse
18 R. Leonard
9 T. Bradshaw
45 W. Harding
21 A. Voglsammer
33 B. Bialkowski
6 G. Evans

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
🔒
U
3,47
🔒
B ✓
3,97
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,02
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.