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Championship
Referee: J Linington
Swansea
S S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Birmingham
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,37 xG 0,77
59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Feb -23 Swansea – Birmingham 3–4 8. Nov -22 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 19. Mar -22 Swansea – Birmingham 0–0 23. Oct -21 Birmingham – Swansea 2–1 2. Apr -21 Birmingham – Swansea 1–0

Match report

Swansea Birmingham
Jamie Paterson 🟨
2′
27′
🟨 Tyler Roberts
45′
⚽ S. Dembélé 0–1
K. Anderson
Half-time 0–1
61′
🔁 J. James
↦ T. Roberts
A. Abdulai 🔁
↦ H. Ashby
69′
L. Cullen 🔁
↦ J. Paterson
70′
70′
🔁 M. Oakley
↦ E. Laird
1–1 J. Yates ⚽
L. Cullen
76′
84′
🔁 J. Bacuna
↦ K. Anderson
85′
🔁 L. Jutkiewicz
↦ S. Hogan
85′
🔁 K. Miyoshi
↦ S. Dembélé
88′
🟨 Ivan Šunjić
94′
🟨 Koji Miyoshi
95′
🟨 Krystian Bielik
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Swansea

5-3-2
22 C. Rushworth G
30 H. Ashby D
6 H. Darling D
5 B. Cabango D
23 N. Wood-Gordon D
2 J. Key D
4 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
12 J. Paterson M
9 J. Yates F
17 J. Piroe F
Bench (9)
47 A. Abdulai
20 L. Cullen
7 J. Allen
16 B. Cooper
11 J. Ginnelly
1 A. Fisher
31 O. Cooper
26 K. Naughton
19 M. Kukharevych

Coach: M. Duff

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
21 J. Ruddy G
2 E. Laird D
5 D. Sanderson D
26 K. Long D
3 L. Buchanan D
34 I. Šunjić M
6 K. Bielik M
8 T. Roberts M
14 K. Anderson M
17 S. Dembélé M
9 S. Hogan F
Bench (9)
19 J. James
24 M. Oakley
7 J. Bacuna
10 L. Jutkiewicz
11 K. Miyoshi
23 M. Emmanuel
15 A. Chang
1 N. Etheridge
16 S. Cosgrove

Coach: J. Eustace

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,87
🔒
U ✓
3,58
🔒
B
4,18
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,90
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,89
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.