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Pro League

Referee: B Staessens

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

U S S T T

4–1

Full-time

Mechelen

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Pro League · 33/32 matches

Win Ø 32%

33%

31%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

55%

66%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

53%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 16

11 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

2 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10. · Mechelen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	27	21	5	1	+46	68
2	St. Gilloise	26	20	3	3	+27	63
3	Antwerp	27	19	4	4	+34	61
4	Gent	27	17	3	7	+34	54
5	Club Brugge	28	16	6	6	+23	54
6	Anderlecht	32	15	6	11	+15	51
7	Charleroi	32	15	5	12	+3	50
8	St Truiden	33	12	9	12	-3	45
9	Cercle Brugge	27	11	10	6	+8	43
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	33	11	9	13	+4	42
11	Westerlo	26	11	6	9	+6	39
12	Standard	26	11	5	10	+1	38
13	Mechelen	32	10	6	16	-16	36
14	Kortrijk	33	10	6	17	-19	36
15	Eupen	33	8	6	19	-25	30
16	Waregem	33	6	10	17	-28	28
17	Oostende	33	6	7	20	-32	25
18	Seraing	32	5	4	23	-39	19
19	Seraing United	32	5	4	23	-39	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	14	13	1	0	+30	40
2	Antwerp	13	11	1	1	+24	34
3	St. Gilloise	13	11	1	1	+15	34
4	Club Brugge	14	9	4	1	+19	31
5	Gent	13	9	2	2	+14	29
6	Cercle Brugge	14	7	6	1	+13	27
7	Mechelen	17	7	5	5	+1	26
8	Anderlecht	16	7	3	6	+7	24
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	6	5	5	+6	23
10	Charleroi	15	7	1	7	+3	22
11	St Truiden	16	6	4	6	-2	22
12	Westerlo	14	6	3	5	+10	21
13	Kortrijk	16	5	4	7	-10	19
14	Standard	12	5	2	5	+2	17
15	Eupen	17	4	4	9	-9	16
16	Oostende	17	5	1	11	-12	16
17	Waregem	17	4	4	9	-16	16
18	Seraing	16	1	3	12	-21	6
19	Seraing United	16	1	3	12	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Genk	13	8	4	1	+16	28
3	Charleroi	17	8	4	5	+0	28
4	Antwerp	14	8	3	3	+10	27
5	Anderlecht	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	Gent	14	8	1	5	+20	25
7	Club Brugge	14	7	2	5	+4	23
8	St Truiden	17	6	5	6	-1	23
9	Standard	14	6	3	5	-1	21
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	5	4	8	-2	19
11	Westerlo	12	5	3	4	-4	18
12	Kortrijk	17	5	2	10	-9	17
13	Cercle Brugge	13	4	4	5	-5	16
14	Eupen	16	4	2	10	-16	14
15	Seraing	16	4	1	11	-18	13
16	Seraing United	16	4	1	11	-18	13
17	Waregem	16	2	6	8	-12	12
18	Mechelen	15	3	1	11	-17	10
19	Oostende	16	1	6	9	-20	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.