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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
St Pauli
S U S U S
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 6. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wehen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hansa Rostock 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Elversberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Magdeburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Osnabruck 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Paderborn 2 0 1 1 -5 1
14 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Hertha 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Nurnberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Pauli Fortuna Dusseldorf
Half-time 0–0
Connor Metcalfe 🟨
52′
D. Sinani 🔁
↦ C. Metcalfe
70′
70′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ E. Iyoha
70′
🔁 V. Vermeij
↦ D. Ginczek
A. Albers 🔁
↦ O. Afolayan
81′
Karol Mets 🟥
83′
83′
🔁 J. Siebert
↦ J. de Wijs
P. Treu 🔁
↦ E. Saad
86′
88′
🟨 Nicolas Gavory
Danel Sinani 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Pauli

3-4-3
22 N. Vasilj G
5 H. Wahl D
8 E. Smith D
3 K. Mets D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
10 M. Hartel M
21 L. Ritzka M
24 C. Metcalfe F
17 O. Afolayan F
26 E. Saad F
Bench (9)
15 D. Sinani
19 A. Albers
23 P. Treu
29 L. Günther
20 A. Aremu
30 S. Burchert
11 J. Eggestein
16 C. Boukhalfa
4 D. Nemeth

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
30 J. de Wijs D
34 N. Gavory D
31 M. Sobottka M
4 A. Tanaka M
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
19 E. Iyoha M
10 D. Ginczek F
Bench (8)
18 J. Niemiec
9 V. Vermeij
20 J. Siebert
29 Elione Neto
2 T. Uchino
6 Y. Engelhardt
22 B. Böckle
1 K. Niemczycki

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U ✓
3,65
B
3,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.