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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Holstein Kiel
T S T S S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
5,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 9
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 8. · Greuther Furth 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wehen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hansa Rostock 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Elversberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Magdeburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Osnabruck 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Paderborn 2 0 1 1 -5 1
14 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Hertha 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Nurnberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Holstein Kiel Greuther Furth
Tom Rothe 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Robert Wagner
59′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ A. Sieb
63′
B. Hrgota 0–1
L. Holtby 🔁
↦ M. Ivezić
67′
B. Simakala 🔁
↦ S. Skrzybski
67′
1–1 J. Sterner
68′
2–1 S. Machino
71′
74′
🔁 J. Consbruch
↦ R. Wagner
74′
🔁 K. Çalhanoğlu
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
78′
🟨 Gideon Jung
F. Porath 🔁
↦ B. Pichler
80′
80′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ G. Jung
L. Rosenboom 🔁
↦ M. Schulz
88′
Finn Dominik Porath 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Holstein Kiel

3-4-2-1
21 T. Dähne G
15 M. Schulz D
34 C. Kleine-Bekel D
3 M. Komenda D
32 J. Sterner M
16 P. Sander M
6 M. Ivezić M
18 T. Rothe M
7 S. Skrzybski F
9 B. Pichler F
13 S. Machino F
Bench (9)
10 L. Holtby
11 B. Simakala
8 F. Porath
23 L. Rosenboom
20 J. Arp
19 H. Friðjónsson
1 T. Weiner
28 A. Wagbe
22 N. Remberg

Coach: M. Rapp

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
40 J. Urbig G
33 M. Dietz D
23 G. Jung D
27 G. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
22 R. Wagner M
37 J. Green M
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
10 B. Hrgota F
30 A. Sieb F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
16 L. Petkov
14 J. Consbruch
21 K. Çalhanoğlu
11 D. Abiama
6 S. Raebiger
1 A. Linde
5 O. Haddadi
4 D. Michalski
3 O. Mhamdi

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,39
U
3,65
B
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.