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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Charleroi
S T T S T
1–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 49%
17%
80%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 68%
75%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,69 xG 1,25
53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 12. · St. Gilloise 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Anderlecht 12 8 3 1 +13 +9.6 27
2 St. Gilloise 10 8 1 1 +16 +11.5 25
3 Cercle Brugge 10 8 0 2 +11 +10.4 24
4 Club Brugge 12 6 3 3 +14 +17.3 21
5 Antwerp 11 5 5 1 +18 +12.5 20
6 Gent 11 5 5 1 +7 +7.4 20
7 Genk 11 5 4 2 +13 +14.8 19
8 Standard 12 4 4 4 -5 -12.1 16
9 Mechelen 11 4 3 4 +0 -2.8 15
10 RWD Molenbeek 13 3 4 6 -14 -15.3 13
11 St Truiden 10 2 5 3 -5 -5.2 11
12 Charleroi 12 2 4 6 -8 -8.0 10
13 Westerlo 12 2 3 7 -9 -6.8 9
14 Eupen 13 2 2 9 -18 -20.9 8
15 Kortrijk 13 2 2 9 -20 -7.2 8
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 1 2 8 -13 -5.1 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi St. Gilloise
15′
M. Amoura 0–1
Cameron Puertas
Jonas Bager 🟨
32′
38′
🟨 Koki Machida
40′
🟨 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
Half-time 0–2
50′
C. Terho 0–2
A. Castro-Montes
Youssouph Badji 🟨
59′
Stelios Andreou 🟨
62′
65′
M. Amoura 0–3
A. Castro-Montes
67′
🔁 K. Rodríguez
↦ G. Nilsson
68′
🔁 M. Rasmussen
↦ Cameron Puertas
P. Guiagon 🔁
↦ Y. Badji
69′
A. Bernier 🔁
↦ D. Marcq
69′
75′
🔁 N. Sadiki
↦ L. Amani
75′
🔁 L. Lapoussin
↦ C. Terho
77′
🔁 D. Eckert Ayensa
↦ M. Amoura
R. Morioka 🔁
↦ A. Zorgane
82′
Y. Sylla 🔁
↦ D. Heymans
82′
1–3 P. Guiagon
A. Bernier
92′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-5-2
16 H. Koffi G
2 J. Bager D
25 D. Marcq D
21 S. Andreou D
29 Ž. Rogelj M
18 D. Heymans M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
15 V. Dragsnes M
9 Oday Dabbagh F
10 Y. Badji F
Bench (7)
8 P. Guiagon
17 A. Bernier
44 R. Morioka
80 Y. Sylla
62 N. Monkoy
32 M. Boukamir
55 M. Delavallée

Coach: F. Mazzù

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
17 C. Terho M
8 L. Amani M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
23 Cameron Puertas M
21 A. Castro-Montes M
29 G. Nilsson F
47 M. Amoura F
Bench (7)
13 K. Rodríguez
4 M. Rasmussen
27 N. Sadiki
10 L. Lapoussin
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
14 J. Imbrechts
5 K. Mac Allister

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,08
U
4,01
B ✓
1,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.